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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors

08/01/2026, 09:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Belgrano
1.0
Total xG
1.8
Argentinos Juniors
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
BELAJ

Belgrano

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
Lucas Passerini 替补席 (0球, 6助攻)
Francisco González Metilli未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)

Argentinos Juniors

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.01
Alan Lescano未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Facundo Jainikoski替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Román Riquelme未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Leandro Lozano未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

36%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

64%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Mathematical prediction favors the home team with a 71% probability of a home win or draw
  • Argentinos Juniors averaged 6.8 shots on target with 59% possession in recent matches
  • Strong defensive display by Belgrano with an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per home match
风险因素
  • Increased fatigue for Argentinos Juniors with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
  • Diminished offensive power for the visitors with only 83% of their usual goal threat available on the pitch
  • Vulnerability of the visitors on the road with an average of 1.38 goals conceded per away match
概述

Belgrano host Argentinos Juniors at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 1, 2026, 9:00 PM

A top-tier clash between 5th and 3rd place

Belgrano sit in 5th place with 26 points

Argentinos Juniors occupy 3rd place with 29 points

近期状态

Belgrano show strong form with WWDWW in their recent matches

Argentinos Juniors have an identical record of WWDWW

Both teams secured 4 wins and 1 draw recently

According to advancedStats, both teams have a positive form trend

Belgrano are currently scoring more at 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.4

Argentinos Juniors improved their scoring to 2.0 goals per match from a season average of 1.5

统计数据

Belgrano average 1.24 goals scored and 0.81 goals conceded per match this season

At home, Belgrano's defense is very stable, conceding just 0.5 goals per game

Argentinos Juniors score 1.29 goals and concede 0.76 goals on average

Away from home, the visitors concede significantly more at 1.38 goals per game

Matches at this venue average only 2.2 total goals

历史交锋

The head-to-head record is even with 1 win each and 3 draws over the last 5 meetings

Both teams have scored exactly 3 goals in these matches

The most recent encounter on May 17, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Nicolás Fernández leads Belgrano's attack with 5 goals this season

Lucas Zelarayán has contributed 4 goals and 2 assists so far

Tomás Molina is key for the visitors with 4 goals and 3 assists

Hernán López Muñoz has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists this season

门将

Thiago Cardozo has recorded 10 clean sheets in 20 appearances for Belgrano

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández has kept 11 clean sheets in 21 games for the visitors

影响因素

Belgrano's home advantage is highlighted by conceding only 6 goals in 12 home matches

The grass pitch at Estadio Julio César Villagra allows for clean ground passing

The historical BTTS rate at this stadium is low at 20%

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