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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Rosario Central

08/02/2026, 10:15 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
River Plate
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Rosario Central
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RPRC

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.83
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
Tomás Galván替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Marcos Acuña未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

Rosario Central

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.28
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Enzo Giménez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Home win probability calculated at 56% by the model
  • River Plate dominated possession recently with an average of 65% in their last 5 matches
  • Rosario Central score consistently with an average of 1.5 goals per match
风险因素
  • River Plate's goal scoring slowed down recently to 1.0 goals average compared to their 1.4 season average
  • Key players missing: Tomás Galván and Marcos Acuña are not nominated
  • Rosario Central concede an average of 1.33 goals per away match
概述

River Plate (2nd place, 29 points) host Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) at Estadio Mâs Monumental

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 2, 2026, 11:15 PM

Top-four clash for key table positions

近期状态

River Plate show unstable form with three consecutive losses (Form: WWLLL)

Rosario Central stabilized with a recent draw (Form: WWLLD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

River Plate got 2 wins and 3 losses in 5 games

Rosario Central got 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

统计数据

River Plate average 1.32 goals scored and 0.86 conceded

Rosario Central average 1.24 goals scored and 1.00 conceded

Rosario Central away average 1.22 scored and 1.33 conceded

历史交锋

In 5 matches, River Plate has 2 wins, Rosario Central 1 win, and 2 draws

Goal difference is 8:4 for River Plate

Last match ended 1:0 for River Plate on May 16, 2026

关键球员

Facundo Colidio with 5 goals and 3 assists

Lucas Martínez Quarta with 2 goals (Rating 7.03)

Aníbal Moreno with 3 assists (Rating 7.07)

Ángel Di María with 5 goals and 4 assists

Franco Ibarra with a 7.29 season rating

Jáminton Campaz with 1 goal and 4 assists

Not nominated: Tomás Galván (3G/2A), Marcos Acuña (1G/1A), Enzo Giménez (1G/1A)

门将

Santiago Beltrán keeps 9 clean sheets this season

Conan Ledesma registered 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage on grass at Estadio Mâs Monumental

Average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches at this venue

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