Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Newell's Old Boys - Boca Juniors
08/02/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.2
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
13%0:0
12%0:2
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Newell's Old Boys
Boca Juniors
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
31%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Tactical setup: Boca Juniors dominated recently with an average of 59% possession and 6.8 shots on target per match, while Newell's relied on counter-attacks with 41% possession
- Offensive trend: Boca Juniors are currently scoring more frequently, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.5
- Table and model advantage: Second-placed Boca Juniors are clear favorites, with the mathematical model calculating a 48% win probability
风险因素
- High fatigue: Newell's Old Boys enter this match with only 2 days of rest since their last game
- Vulnerable defense: Newell's Old Boys have conceded an average of 1.56 goals per game this season
- Limited offensive threat: Newell's averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 15 points) host Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 2, 2026, 10:00 PM
Venue is the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Second-placed Boca Juniors aim to keep the pressure on the league leaders
The mathematical model calculates a win probability of 48% for the visitors
近期状态
Home team form: WDDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Away team form: WWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Newell's Old Boys recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Boca Juniors recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Both teams lost their most recent match
统计数据
Newell's Old Boys scored an average of 0.89 goals and conceded 1.56 goals per game this season
At home, they average 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded
Boca Juniors scored 1.33 goals per match on average while conceding just 0.83 goals
Away from home, the visitors are defensively solid, conceding only 0.9 goals per match
The model expects 0.84 goals for the hosts and 1.38 goals for the visitors
历史交锋
Boca Juniors clearly dominate the recent direct duels
Boca Juniors won 3 of the last 4 encounters, while Newell's Old Boys won 1
The goal difference stands at 8:2 in favor of the visitors
The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a 2:0 away victory for Boca Juniors
关键球员
For the hosts, Walter Mazzantti stands out with a season rating of 7.09
Matías Cóccaro has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists this season
Leandro Paredes is a key factor for Boca Juniors with an average rating of 7.57
Miguel Merentiel has contributed 5 goals this season
Not nominated: Walter Núñez (1 Goal/1 Assist) and Alan Velasco (2 Goals/1 Assist)
门将
Josué Reinatti guards the net for Newell's Old Boys with a strong rating of 7.38
Álvaro Montero plays in goal for Boca Juniors with a rating of 6.08
Newell's Old Boys kept 3 clean sheets this season, while Boca Juniors secured 9 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Venue statistics show a very low-scoring history with an average of 1.2 goals per game
Home advantage for Newell's Old Boys is backed by 3 clean sheets in 8 home matches