Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes - Defensa y Justicia
08/01/2026, 09:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Estudiantes
Defensa y Justicia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
30%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Excellent home defense: Estudiantes concede an average of only 0.70 goals per home game
- Mathematical edge: The model calculates a home win probability of 49%
- Expected goals: The statistical analysis predicts 1.44 goals for Estudiantes compared to 0.85 for the visitors
风险因素
- Aarón Molinas, Ayrton Portillo missing for Defensa y Justicia, leaving only 65% of regular starting lineup strength available
- Fatigue factor: Defensa y Justicia has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Attacking slump: Estudiantes averaged only 0.75 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.27
概述
Estudiantes (2nd place, 31 points) host Defensa y Justicia (10th place, 19 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 1, 2026, 9:00 PM
Estudiantes aim to close the gap to the top of the table
The home side is the favorite for this encounter
近期状态
Estudiantes enter with form WDWLL and consecutive losses in their last two games
Defensa y Justicia improved recently with form LLLDW
The home team has 2 wins in their last 5 matches
The away team recorded 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 games
统计数据
Estudiantes possess a strong defense conceding average 0.56 goals per game
The home side kept 9 clean sheets this season
Defensa y Justicia conceded 23 goals in 18 matches
The visitors average 1.17 goals scored per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in total
Estudiantes lead the historic record with 2 wins
The last meeting on February 2, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw
Only 3 goals have been scored in total across these meetings
关键球员
Tiago Palacios contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this season
Alexis Castro has scored 3 goals so far for the home side
Juan Gutiérrez is the main threat for the visitors with 4 goals and 3 assists
门将
Fernando Muslera has a season average rating of 7.02
Matías Borgogno has played only 2 games in goal this season
Estudiantes kept 9 clean sheets compared to 5 for the visitors
影响因素
The match will take place at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Estudiantes concede average 0.7 goals in home games
No weather data is available in the dataset