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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Huracán - Atlético Tucumán

08/04/2026, 12:15 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Huracán
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Atlético Tucumán
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
HURAT

Huracán

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第13位, 相差6位)
+0.04
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.03
César Ibáñez未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ignacio Campo替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Atlético Tucumán

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
-0.06
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.03

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

32%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Home defensive strength: Huracán concede just 0.73 goals per match on home soil
  • Tactical advantage: Huracán averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to the visitors' 2.8
  • Weak away record: Atlético Tucumán concede an average of 1.4 goals per match away from home
风险因素
  • Slowing offense: Atlético Tucumán's goal production has slowed down to 1.0 per match compared to their season average
  • Sidelined key players: Huracán are missing key players C. Ibáñez and F. Waller Martiarena due to injury
  • Fatigue factor: Atlético Tucumán have only 4 days of rest since their last match, giving them less recovery time
概述

Huracán host Atlético Tucumán at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 4, 2026, 2:15 AM

Huracán sit in 7th place with 22 points

Atlético Tucumán occupy 13th place with 14 points

The home side enters as favorites with a model-predicted win probability of 44%

近期状态

Huracán show mixed form with a DWLWL record

In their last match Huracán lost 1-2 against Independiente Rivadavia

Atlético Tucumán hold a LDWDW record over their last five matches

Most recently the visitors secured a 2-0 victory against Central Cordoba SdE

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Huracán score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 0.9 goals per match this season

At home Huracán concede just 0.73 goals per match on average

Atlético Tucumán average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded on their travels

The visitors hold a season goal difference of minus 5

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in total

Atlético Tucumán scored 5 goals while Huracán scored 3

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Huracán are still searching for their first victory against this opponent

关键球员

Jordy Caicedo has scored 9 goals in 19 appearances for the home team this season

Leonardo Gil impresses in midfield with rising form and 2 assists

For the visitors Leandro Díaz is the top threat with 7 goals

Franco Nicola has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

门将

Hernán Galíndez plays in goal for Huracán and has recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Luis Ingolotti guards the net for the visitors and has achieved 7 clean sheets so far

Ingolotti has also registered 1 assist this season

影响因素

An average of 2.2 goals per match are scored on the natural grass of Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Huracán benefit from a solid home defense with only 8 goals conceded in 11 matches

Atlético Tucumán managed only 2 clean sheets in 10 away matches

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