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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Gimnasia La Plata

08/02/2026, 05:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Aldosivi
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Gimnasia La Plata
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
ALDGLP

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.28
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.09
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.5 赛季平均)
+0.09
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.08
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.08
Tomás Fernández替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.8球 vs 总体0.5球)

Gimnasia La Plata

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.04
Marcelo Torres未进大名单 (8球, 1助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Table and form difference: Sixth-placed Gimnasia La Plata (26 points) faces winless bottom-placed Aldosivi (8 points)
  • Both teams averaged very counter-oriented play in recent matches with around 35% possession and under 4 shots on target
  • Aldosivi is scoring more frequently recently (0.8) compared to their season average (0.5) while Gimnasia's goal production stalls at 1.0
风险因素
  • Tomás Fernández is missing for Aldosivi, leaving only 61% of the usual goal threat available
  • Gimnasia La Plata travels without top goalscorer Marcelo Torres, which could weaken the visitors' offensive power
  • The low-scoring venue record at Estadio José María Minella with an average of only 1.2 goals per game poses a risk of a low-scoring match
概述

Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) host Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 26 points) at the Estadio José María Minella

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 2, 2026, 7:30 PM

The hosts are still completely winless this season

Gimnasia La Plata enter this matchup as favorites

近期状态

Aldosivi are still waiting for their first win after a recent DLDDL form

Gimnasia La Plata are in better shape with a WWLLW run in recent matches

Aldosivi with 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses

Gimnasia La Plata with 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Aldosivi have a weak attack with only 7 goals in 18 games (Avg 0.39)

Gimnasia La Plata scored 22 goals (Avg 1.10) in 20 games

Aldosivi conceded only 5 goals in 8 home matches (Avg 0.62)

The visitors concede an average of 1.44 goals per away game

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Gimnasia La Plata won that encounter 3-1 on February 2, 2026

The historical record favors the away side

关键球员

For Aldosivi, attacker Nicolás Cordero (2 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 7.00) is the main focus

Defender Nicolás Zalazar is also important with an average rating of 7.05

Gimnasia relies on midfielder Nicolás Barros Schelotto (3 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.21)

Not in the lineup for the away team is Marcelo Torres (8 goals, 1 assist)

门将

Ignacio Chicco guards the goal for Aldosivi with 3 appearances and an avg rating of 7.18

Nelson Insfrán plays for Gimnasia with 18 appearances and an avg rating of 6.98

The defenses kept 4 (Aldosivi) and 7 (Gimnasia) clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio José María Minella

Aldosivi's home advantage shows in a stable defense with only 0.62 goals conceded per home game

The venue is historically very low-scoring, averaging just 1.2 goals per game

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