Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Independiente
08/03/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Independiente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
28%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Offensive trend: Vélez scores more recently (1.40) than their season average, while Independiente's scoring has stalled (1.20)
- Tactical dominance: Vélez averaged 57% possession and 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Home vs away mismatch: Vélez concedes only 0.78 goals at home, while Independiente concedes 1.75 goals away
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Independiente has only 3 days of rest compared to 4 days for Vélez
- Defensive absence: J. Gordon is out injured for Vélez
- Away vulnerability: Independiente concedes a high average of 1.75 goals per away game
概述
Vélez Sarsfield hosts Independiente at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 3, 2026, 11:00 PM
Vélez sits in 3rd place with 28 points
Independiente enters in 5th place with 24 points
近期状态
Vélez form: DDLWW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Independiente form: LWLWW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Vélez shows a stable trend, scoring more recently (1.40 goals) than their season average
Independiente's goal production is stalling, averaging 1.20 goals recently
统计数据
Vélez boasts a strong defense, conceding only 0.74 goals per game
Independiente scores 1.47 goals on average but concedes 1.21
Both teams scored in 12 of Independiente's 19 matches
历史交锋
Even record with 4 head-to-head matches
Both teams won 1 match each, alongside 2 draws
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on January 31, 2026
关键球员
Manuel Lanzini scored 4 goals this season with a 7.20 rating
Diego Valdés contributed 5 assists with a 7.06 rating
Gabriel Ávalos is the biggest threat for Independiente with 11 goals and 5 assists
门将
Tomás Marchiori starts in goal for Vélez with a 7.29 rating
Rodrigo Rey plays for Independiente with a 6.80 rating
Vélez kept 8 clean sheets this season, while Independiente kept 6
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio José Amalfitani
Stadium stats show an average of 1.8 goals per match
Vélez benefits from home advantage, conceding only 0.78 goals per home game