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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Central Cordoba SdE - San Lorenzo

08/04/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Central Cordoba SdE
0.9
Total xG
1.7
San Lorenzo
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

20%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

13%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
CCSSL

Central Cordoba SdE

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.42
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.38
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.7 赛季平均)
+0.16
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.08
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Ezequiel Naya替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

San Lorenzo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第13位, 相差6位)
+0.02
Facundo Gulli替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

37%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

52%

Under 1.5

48%

Over 2.5

24%

Under 2.5

76%

Over 3.5

9%

Under 3.5

91%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

66%

关键因素
  • Defensive strength of the visitors: San Lorenzo conceded only 0.89 goals per match on average this season
  • Tactical discrepancy: San Lorenzo averaged 5.4 shots on target recently, compared to just 3.0 for the hosts
  • Balanced expectations: The mathematical model predicts a high probability of a draw at 38%
风险因素
  • Absence of starting goalkeeper A. Aguerre for the home side
  • San Lorenzo has to cope with several missing players, including C. Insaurralde and E. Herrera
  • Offensive struggles for the hosts, who average only 0.61 goals per match
概述

Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 16 points) vs San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points)

Match on August 4, 2026, 12:15 AM at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Mid-table battle in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

近期状态

Home form: WDLLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

Away form: WLDLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Central Cordoba scores an average of 0.61 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per match

San Lorenzo scores an average of 0.89 goals and concedes 0.89 goals per match

The visitors have kept 10 clean sheets this season

An average of 3.4 goals are scored at this venue

历史交锋

3 head-to-head matches in total

1 win for Central Cordoba SdE and 2 wins for San Lorenzo

Goal difference of 2 to 3 from the hosts' perspective

The last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of San Lorenzo

关键球员

Michael Santos (4 goals, 2 assists, 6.93 rating)

Diego Barrera (3 goals, 0 assists, 6.71 rating)

Alejandro Maciel (1 goal, 1 assist, 6.99 rating)

Alexis Cuello (4 goals, 3 assists, 6.96 rating)

Rodrigo Auzmendi (5 goals, 0 assists, 7.00 rating)

Matías Reali (0 goals, 1 assist, 6.82 rating)

门将

Javier Vallejos starts in goal for Central Cordoba with a season rating of 6.61

Orlando Gill guards the goal for San Lorenzo with an impressive average rating of 7.33

The visitors have kept 10 clean sheets this season compared to 6 for the hosts

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Central Cordoba averages 0.62 goals scored and 0.69 conceded at home

San Lorenzo averages 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded away from home

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