Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente - Platense
08/09/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Independiente
Platense
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
30%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Weakened attack: Platense has only 45% of their usual goal threat available without Nicolás Retamar
- Head-to-head dominance: Independiente is unbeaten in the last 4 meetings (2 wins, 2 draws) with a 5:1 goal difference
- Home strength vs away crisis: Platense is winless in 5 matches, while Independiente concedes only 0.82 goals per home game
风险因素
- Independiente's goal production has stalled recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to their seasonal average of 1.4
- Platense's goal production is also stalling recently, averaging 0.6 goals compared to their seasonal average of 0.93
- Independiente averaged only 3.8 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述
Independiente (5th, 24 points) host Platense (12th, 16 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 9, 2026, 2:30 AM
Home team holds a slight advantage
近期状态
Independiente is in WLWWL form (3 wins, 2 losses)
Platense travels with LLDLL form (1 draw, 4 losses)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Independiente averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded
Platense averages only 0.68 goals scored per match
Visitors failed to score in 11 matches this season
Home defense concedes just 0.82 goals per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches recorded
Independiente has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses
Goal difference is 5:1 in favor of the home team
关键球员
Gabriel Ávalos has 11 goals and 5 assists (Rating 7.39)
Matías Abaldo has 5 goals and 1 assist (Rating 6.73)
Santiago Montiel scored 3 goals and 2 assists
Franco Zapiola has 2 goals (Rating 7.08)
Ignacio Vázquez has 1 goal (Rating 6.98)
Guido Mainero has an average rating of 6.63
门将
Rodrigo Rey is in goal (Rating 6.79, 6 clean sheets)
Juan Pablo Cozzani guards the visitors' goal (Rating 6.42, 6 clean sheets)
影响因素
Estadio Libertadores de América averages 3.4 goals per game
Independiente concedes just 0.82 goals per home match
Platense kept 4 clean sheets in away games on grass