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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Tigre - River Plate

08/08/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Tigre
1.0
Total xG
2.3
River Plate
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
TIGRP

Tigre

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.09
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.06
全员可用

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.37
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.22
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.09
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.05
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.02
Facundo Colidio未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Marcos Acuña未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

32%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • River Plate plays without Facundo Colidio and Marcos Acuña which reduces their starting XI strength to 76%
  • Tigre is in more stable form while River Plate is struggling with four consecutive defeats
  • Tigre recently averaged 4.0 shots on target with 52% possession while River Plate averaged 4.0 shots on target with 66% possession
风险因素
  • Tigre has a severe rest disadvantage with only 2 days of break compared to River Plate's 6 days
  • Both teams have struggled offensively in recent games averaging 1.0 goals for Tigre and 0.6 goals for River Plate compared to their season averages
  • Limited data availability due to missing weather information in the dataset
概述

Tigre hosts River Plate at Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 8, 2026, 10:00 PM

Second-place River Plate visits tenth-place Tigre

River Plate aims for the top of the table while Tigre seeks to secure a mid-table spot

近期状态

Tigre has a form of LDLWD

Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Belgrano

River Plate travels with a weak form of WLLLL

The visitors have suffered four consecutive defeats

统计数据

Tigre scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 0.89 goals per game

River Plate averages 1.26 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded this season

Tigre kept 5 clean sheets so far this season

River Plate recorded 9 clean sheets in their campaign

历史交锋

Even historical record with one win for each team

Tigre won the last direct encounter away with a clear 4-1 scoreline

No draws have been recorded in their two meetings so far

关键球员

Ignacio Russo scored 5 goals and provided 3 assists

Gonzalo Martínez shows rising form with 3 goals this season

Alan Barrionuevo stands out as a defender with a 7.20 rating

Gonzalo Montiel leads his team with 4 goals this season

Tomás Galván recorded 3 goals and 2 assists in the current campaign

Aníbal Moreno contributed 3 assists in midfield

门将

Felipe Zenobio holds a stable season rating of 6.89

Tigre has recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Santiago Beltrán shows declining form with a 6.54 rating in recent matches

River Plate has kept 9 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Stadium history shows a low-scoring trend averaging 1.6 goals per game

Tigre concedes only 0.8 goals on average at home

River Plate concedes an average of just 0.83 goals away from home

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