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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Banfield - Belgrano

08/10/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Banfield
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Belgrano
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
BANBEL

Banfield

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.70
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.34
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.11
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
24%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.2球)

Belgrano

防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Nicolás Fernández未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Adrián Sánchez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

29%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Belgrano's absences: With Nicolás Fernández (5 goals, 4 assists) and Adrián Sánchez (1 goal, 1 assist) missing, the visitors lack two key squad members
  • Head-to-head advantage: Belgrano remains unbeaten in 4 historical meetings against Banfield, recording 2 wins and 2 draws
  • Offensive approach: Banfield averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches while maintaining a counter-oriented style
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Belgrano has had a significantly shorter recovery time with only 4 days since their last match, compared to Banfield's 9 days
  • Compact defense: Belgrano concedes an average of only 0.78 goals per game this season, presenting a highly stable defensive unit
概述

Banfield (12th place, 18 points) host Belgrano (5th place, 26 points) at the Estadio Florencio Sola

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 10, 2026, 11:00 PM

Belgrano enters the match in the upper third of the table, while Banfield needs points from mid-table

近期状态

Both teams display a balanced run of form recently

Banfield recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Belgrano has an identical record with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Form-String Banfield: DWLWD

Form-String Belgrano: DWWLD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Banfield scores an average of 1.05 goals and concedes 1.16 goals per match this season

Their home defense is strong, conceding only 0.67 goals on average

Belgrano has a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.78 goals per game

On the road, Belgrano averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded

历史交锋

Belgrano dominates the recent head-to-head history

Out of 4 matches, Belgrano won 2 and 2 ended in a draw

Banfield is still searching for their first victory against Belgrano

The last meeting on February 8, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Belgrano

关键球员

Tiziano Perrota is Banfield's top scorer with 6 goals this season

Santiago López García leads the midfield with 2 goals and 4 assists

For Belgrano, Lucas Zelarayán stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists

门将

Facundo Sanguinetti guards Banfield's goal and kept 5 clean sheets this season

Thiago Cardozo starts for Belgrano and has recorded an impressive 11 clean sheets in 22 appearances

Both keepers boast solid average ratings above 7.0

影响因素

Estadio Florencio Sola averages 2.2 total goals per game

Banfield's home advantage is highlighted by their strong home defense

Weather data is not available for this analysis

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