🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Rosario Central - Aldosivi

08/07/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Rosario Central
1.8
Total xG
2.3
Aldosivi
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

2:0

15%

0:0

11%

1:1

11%

3:0

9%
xG 分解
RCALD

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.83
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第14位, 相差10位)
+0.08
Jáminton Campaz替补席 (1球, 4助攻)

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.46
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.08
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.5 赛季平均)
+0.08
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第4位, 相差10位)
-0.06
Nicolás Cordero替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
68%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

25%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

75%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Strong home record: Rosario Central concedes an average of only 0.75 goals at home
  • Tactical advantage: Rosario Central recently controlled play with an average of 51.2% possession
  • Extreme offensive drought: Aldosivi scores an average of only 0.42 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • Nicolás Cordero is missing for Aldosivi, leaving only 63% of seasonal goal-scoring threat available
  • Away weakness: Aldosivi concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away game this season
  • Struggling goal production: Rosario Central currently averages 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
概述

Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) hosts Aldosivi (14th place, 8 points) at Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 8, 2026, 12:30 AM

Clear favorite role for the home team with a calculated win probability of 65%

近期状态

Rosario Central holds a form of WLLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Aldosivi is still waiting for their first win with a form of LDDLL

0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their current record

统计数据

Rosario Central scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 0.95 goals this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of only 0.75 goals per game

Aldosivi has a glaring offensive weakness with only 0.42 goals per game

Away from home, Aldosivi concedes an average of 1.78 goals per game and has never kept a clean sheet

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between the two teams so far

This single match ended in a 1-1 draw

The last meeting took place on February 7, 2026

关键球员

Ángel Di María scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists in 17 appearances

Julián Fernández has 2 goals and 3 assists this season

Enzo Copetti contributed 5 goals for Rosario Central in 19 games

For Aldosivi, Tomás Fernández scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 12 games

Nicolás Zalazar stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 7.07

Martín García recorded 1 assist in 11 games

门将

Conan Ledesma played in 18 matches for Rosario Central and achieved 6 clean sheets

Lucas Acosta has not played a match for Aldosivi this season

影响因素

The game is played on natural grass at Estadio 15 de Abril

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the games there

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。