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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Racing Club

08/09/2026, 11:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Racing Club
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AJRC

Argentinos Juniors

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.34
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.28
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Facundo Jainikoski替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Racing Club

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.03
Tomás Conechny替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Matías Zaracho未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Santiago Sosa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅55%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

31%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

69%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Form and upward trend: Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in 5 matches and currently score more frequently than their seasonal average
  • Tactical dominance of the hosts: Argentinos Juniors averaged 6.0 shots on target with 62% possession in recent matches
  • Strong home defense: Argentinos Juniors conceded an average of only 0.38 goals per game in their own stadium this season
风险因素
  • Tomás Conechny, Matías Zaracho, and Santiago Sosa are missing for the visitors, leaving only 56% of their usual starting strength available
  • Low-scoring venue history: Matches at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona averaged only 2.2 goals recently
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Racing Club (8th place, 21 points) at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 9, 2026, 11:15 PM

The mathematical model predicts a 46% probability of a home win with 1.37 expected home goals

近期状态

Argentinos Juniors show excellent form with the sequence WDWWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Racing Club demonstrate mixed form with the sequence WLWDL

Recently, the visitors registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors average 1.27 goals scored and concede a very low 0.73 goals per game this season

At home, their defense is exceptionally stable, conceding only 0.38 goals per match

Racing Club average 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded

On the road, the visitors show defensive stability, conceding just 0.91 goals per away game

历史交锋

Even historical record with 4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Both teams registered 2 wins and 0 draws

The goal difference is perfectly balanced at 8:8

The last encounter on February 7, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Racing Club

关键球员

Tomás Molina has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Alan Lescano scored 4 goals with an average rating of 7.09

Sebastián Prieto contributed 2 goals and 2 assists

Adrián Martínez scored 4 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Matko Miljevic registered 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 6.96

Marco Di Césare has scored 2 goals so far this season

门将

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández has recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Facundo Cambeses registered 8 clean sheets so far for the visitors

影响因素

Matches at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona averaged only 2.2 goals per game recently

The BTTS rate at this venue stands at 40%

Argentinos Juniors benefit from an outstanding home defense, conceding an average of only 0.38 goals

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