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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Defensa y Justicia - Newell's Old Boys

08/09/2026, 08:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Defensa y Justicia
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Newell's Old Boys
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
DYJNOB

Defensa y Justicia

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.52
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15

Newell's Old Boys

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.02
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.01
Matías Cóccaro未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Walter Núñez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

34%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Defensa y Justicia recently controlled possession, averaging 61% and recording 5.0 shots on target per match
  • Away weakness: Newell's Old Boys concede an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Squad impact: Key players Matías Cóccaro and Walter Núñez are missing from the visitors' starting lineup
风险因素
  • Struggling offense: Defensa y Justicia's goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging only 0.8 goals
  • Defensive absences: Newell's Old Boys are missing O. Salomón, M. Esponda, and A. Montero
  • Defensive fragility: The hosts concede an average of 1.37 goals per match
概述

Defensa y Justicia host Newell's Old Boys

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 9, 2026, 10:45 PM

The match takes place at Estadio José María Minella on grass

Defensa y Justicia are 10th in the standings with 19 points

Newell's Old Boys visit in 14th place with 15 points

近期状态

Defensa y Justicia recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

The form string is LLDWL

Newell's Old Boys registered 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

The visitors' form string is DDWLD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Defensa y Justicia average 1.11 goals scored per match this season

On average, the home team concedes 1.37 goals per game

Newell's Old Boys average 0.95 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded

The visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals in away games

Defensa y Justicia kept 5 clean sheets in the league

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 times

Newell's Old Boys recorded 1 win and 1 draw

The last match on February 8, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for Defensa y Justicia

The historical goal difference stands at 5:4 in favor of Defensa y Justicia

关键球员

Juan Gutiérrez has scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists in 19 games

David Barbona contributed 3 goals in 12 appearances

Ignacio Ramírez is the top threat for the visitors with 4 goals in 13 appearances

门将

Matías Borgogno starts in goal for the hosts with a season average rating of 7.06

Josué Reinatti guards the net for the visitors with a season rating of 7.24

The home team recorded 5 clean sheets this season

The visitors achieved 3 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Estadio José María Minella

Stadium stats show an average of 1.8 goals per match

The BTTS rate at this venue is 60%

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