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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - Estudiantes

08/08/2026, 05:45 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
0.8
Total xG
1.7
Estudiantes
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

0:1

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

12%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
DREST

Deportivo Riestra

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.43
状态上升 (1.5 vs 0.6 赛季平均)
+0.26
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.13
主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.6球)

Estudiantes

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.06
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.06
Tiago Palacios未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Guido Carrillo未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Alexis Castro未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Joaquín Tobio Burgos未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ezequiel Piovi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Tomás Palacios未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
64%进球产出缺失 (仅37%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

37%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

54%

Under 1.5

46%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Severe squad impact with six key players missing for Estudiantes, leaving only 37% of their usual goal threat available
  • Opposing form trends: Riestra are scoring more recently (1.5) than their season average, while Estudiantes underperform their season average with 1.2 goals
  • Home defensive fortress: Deportivo Riestra have conceded an average of just 0.33 goals per home match this season
风险因素
  • Estudiantes face a tight schedule with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Counter-oriented playing style of the hosts with a recent average of only 3.8 shots on target per match
  • Limited availability of weather data in the provided dataset
概述

Deportivo Riestra (15th place, 11 points) host Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 8, 2026, 5:45 PM

League leaders Estudiantes travel as favorites to face relegation-threatened Riestra

近期状态

Home form in all competitions: WDWLL

Home form summary: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

Away form in all competitions: WLLWL

Away form summary: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Riestra lost their last two matches, while Estudiantes seek stability after a recent defeat

统计数据

Riestra average 0.47 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded per match

Riestra are defensively strong at home, conceding just 0.33 goals per game

Estudiantes score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 0.55 per match

Matches at Riestra's home have generally been very low-scoring this season

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

No wins for Deportivo Riestra, 2 wins for Estudiantes with a goal record of 0:3

The last meeting on February 9, 2026 ended in a 0:1 away win for Estudiantes

关键球员

Antony Alonso scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 19 appearances

Ignacio Arce stands out in goal with an average rating of 7.22

Adolfo Gaich scored 3 goals in 10 games for his team

门将

Ignacio Arce played 19 games in goal, achieving a strong rating of 7.22

Fabricio Iacovich impressed in his 7 appearances with a rating of 7.23

Both goalkeepers have high average ratings heading into this match

影响因素

Deportivo Riestra's home advantage is defensive, conceding only 5 goals in 15 home matches

The match will be played on natural grass

Previous matches at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia averaged 2.0 goals

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