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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

08/08/2026, 12:45 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Independiente Rivadavia
2.1
Total xG
2.9
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
IREDRC

Independiente Rivadavia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+1.39
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.25
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.14
Leonel Bucca替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Luciano Gómez未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.80
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.12
状态上升 (0.5 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.04
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.03
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
+0.01
37%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

69%

平局

21%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

31%

非平局

79%

双方进球

是

46%

否

54%

关键因素
  • Class difference in the standings: League leaders Independiente Rivadavia (34 points) host bottom-placed Estudiantes (5 points)
  • Tactical dominance: The hosts averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches, while the visitors only averaged 2.0
  • Mathematical model: The pipeline predicts a home win with a 69% probability
风险因素
  • Away defensive crisis: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto concedes an average of 5.67 goals per away game
  • Squad limitations: The visitors are operating with only 63% of their usual starting lineup strength
  • Favorit's form dip: Independiente Rivadavia is on a negative trend, with goal production slowing down to 1.3 recently
概述

Independiente Rivadavia host Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Match on August 8, 2026, 1:45 AM at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

The league leaders (1st place, 34 points) face the bottom-placed team (15th place, 5 points)

近期状态

Independiente Rivadavia enters the match with form DLDWL

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto shows form LLWLD

The hosts lost 1-2 to Sarmiento in their last outing, while the visitors drew 0-0 against Banfield

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Independiente Rivadavia scores an average of 1.65 goals and concedes 1.00 per game

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto averages just 0.32 goals scored per match

The visitors concede an extremely high average of 5.67 goals in away fixtures

历史交锋

Only one head-to-head encounter recorded

Independiente Rivadavia won the last meeting 1-0 on February 10, 2026

关键球员

Fabrizio Sartori has scored 7 goals this season for the home side

Matías Fernández contributed 3 goals and 3 assists

Sergio Ojeda is a key defender for the visitors with 1 goal this season

门将

Nicolás Bolcato starts in goal for the hosts

Lucas Bruera is in goal for the visitors with a strong 7.21 average rating

影响因素

Strong home influence at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini with matches averaging 3.6 total goals

The match will be played on a grass pitch

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