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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento

08/08/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
1.5
Total xG
2.2
Sarmiento
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ATSAR

Atlético Tucumán

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.26
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
Leandro Díaz未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)

Sarmiento

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.61
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.25
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.10
Pablo Magnin替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

30%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

70%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Atlético Tucumán averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Atlético Tucumán is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.1)
  • Sarmiento is currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.1)
风险因素
  • Leandro Díaz is missing, only 63% of the usual goal threat is available
  • Sarmiento concedes an average of 2.83 goals per away game
概述

Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 14 points) host Sarmiento (11th place, 19 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 8, 2026, 6:45 PM at Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

The model calculates a home win probability of 52%

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán shows a stable form of DWDWD with 2 wins and 3 draws

Sarmiento is more inconsistent with WLLLW, recording 2 wins and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.89 goals and concedes 1.05 goals per match

At home, the defense is solid, conceding only 0.67 goals per game

Sarmiento averages 1.0 goal scored but struggles away, conceding 2.83 goals per game

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2 times, Sarmiento won once, and there was 1 draw

The last match ended in a 1-2 victory for Sarmiento on February 8, 2026

关键球员

Franco Nicola leads the hosts' attack with 2 goals and 1 assist

Renzo Tesuri has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist from midfield

For the visitors, Junior Marabel is the biggest threat with 8 goals and 3 assists

门将

Luis Ingolotti plays in goal for Atlético Tucumán and has recorded 8 clean sheets

Sarmiento fields Thyago Ayala, who earned a strong rating of 7.89 in his only appearance

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

In the last 5 matches at this venue, there has been an average of only 1.0 goals per game

The probability of both teams scoring is 42%

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