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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Unión Santa Fe - Central Cordoba SdE

08/11/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Unión Santa Fe
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
USFCCS

Unión Santa Fe

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.43
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.11
Brahian David Cuello未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

Central Cordoba SdE

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.61
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.07
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.04
Ezequiel Naya替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

27%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Strong home advantage: Unión Santa Fe concedes an average of only 0.67 goals at home
  • Defensive struggles away: Central Cordoba SdE has conceded an average of 6.5 goals per away match
  • Mathematical favorability: The model calculates a 57% probability for a Unión Santa Fe home win
风险因素
  • Struggling offense: Unión Santa Fe scored only 1.2 goals per game recently compared to a season average of 1.6
  • Key player missing: Brahian David Cuello (3 goals) is unavailable for Unión Santa Fe
  • Historical H2H record: Central Cordoba SdE won 3 of the last 4 direct matches against Unión Santa Fe
概述

Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points) host Central Cordoba SdE (13th place, 16 points) at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 11, 2026, 1:15 AM

The home side enters the match as mathematical favorites

近期状态

Unión Santa Fe has a form of WLDLW, coming off a victory

Central Cordoba SdE shows a form of DLLLW, also winning their most recent match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Unión Santa Fe scores an average of 1.44 goals at home and concedes just 0.67

Central Cordoba SdE averages 0.5 goals scored and a massive 6.5 goals conceded in away games

历史交锋

Across 4 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1 time while Central Cordoba secured 3 victories

Their last duel on February 7, 2026, ended in a 0-1 away victory for Central Cordoba

关键球员

For the hosts, Cristian Tarragona (9 goals) and Julián Palacios (7 assists) are key factors

Lucas Menossi has added 2 goals so far this season

The visitors rely heavily on Michael Santos (5 goals, 2 assists) and Diego Barrera (3 goals)

门将

Matías Mansilla guards the home goal and has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Alan Aguerre is between the posts for the visitors, boasting a strong average rating of 7.17

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Unión's solid home defensive record highlights their strong advantage on home turf

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