🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes - Gimnasia La Plata

08/15/2026, 07:45 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Estudiantes
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ESTGLP

Estudiantes

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.40
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.14
Guido Carrillo替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

Gimnasia La Plata

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Nicolás Barros Schelotto替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

30%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Estudiantes' stagnant goal production (recently averaging 0.8 goals vs 1.3 season average) faces the in-form visitors with three consecutive wins
  • Gimnasia La Plata have played dynamically in recent matches, averaging 4.8 shots on target with 42% average possession
  • Estudiantes' strong defense (season average of 0.62 goals conceded) underpins the mathematical home win probability of 42%
风险因素
  • Estudiantes are in a slump with four losses from their last five matches
  • Gimnasia La Plata concede an average of 1.4 goals per game in away matches
  • The absence of Nicolás Barros Schelotto (3 goals, 3 assists) reduces the starting XI strength of the visitors to 85%
概述

Estudiantes host Gimnasia La Plata at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 15, 2026, 8:45 PM

Estudiantes sit in 1st place with 31 points

Gimnasia La Plata travel in 6th place with 26 points

An important clash in the upper part of the table

近期状态

Estudiantes enter with form LLWLL

The home team comes off two consecutive losses

Gimnasia La Plata arrive with form LLWWW

The visitors have celebrated three consecutive wins

Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Estudiantes average 1.05 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded this season

The home defense is strong with 10 clean sheets overall

Gimnasia La Plata average 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per match

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.4 goals per game

历史交锋

Historically, Estudiantes dominate with 3 wins from the last 5 matches

Gimnasia La Plata have not won any of the last 5 meetings

The goal difference stands at 8:2 in favor of the hosts

The last head-to-head match on February 15, 2026 ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Tiago Palacios has 3 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.07

Adolfo Gaich scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist this season

Tomás Palacios stands out defensively with an average rating of 7.18

Alexis Steimbach is a key playmaker with 6 assists and 1 goal

Agustín Auzmendi has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists so far

Nacho Fernández holds an average rating of 6.98 with 2 goals scored

门将

Fernando Muslera guards the net for Estudiantes, recording 10 clean sheets

Nelson Insfrán plays in goal for Gimnasia La Plata, securing 8 clean sheets so far

Both goalkeepers are statistically solid anchors for their respective teams

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

In the 3 games played at this venue, an average of 3.33 goals were scored per match

Both teams scored in 0% of the matches at this venue (0 out of 3 BTTS)

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。