Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia
08/15/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
11%1:0
11%1:2
7%xG 分解
Belgrano
Independiente Rivadavia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
34%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Massive squad impact for the visitors: Only 46% of regular starting XI strength is available, missing top scorers Fabrizio Sartori and Álex Arce
- Opposing form trends: Belgrano is scoring more frequently than their season average while the league leaders' attack is stalling
- Home defensive strength: Belgrano concedes only 0.54 goals per home game on average
风险因素
- Belgrano is missing key creative players Nicolás Fernández and Lucas Zelarayán
- Inexperience in the visitors' goal with Emmanuel Gómez Riga making only his second appearance of the season
- The mathematical model suggests a highly balanced match with a 34% draw probability
概述
Belgrano (5th place, 26 points) host league leaders Independiente Rivadavia (1st place, 34 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 15, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
A top-tier clash at the upper end of the table
近期状态
Belgrano in form WWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with a recent win against Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia in form LDWLW with a recent win against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Belgrano shows a rising trend with 1.8 goals recently compared to their 1.4 season average
The league leaders' scoring has stalled recently at 1.5 goals compared to 1.8 on average
统计数据
Belgrano concedes only 0.54 goals per home game on average
Independiente Rivadavia scores 1.57 goals per away game on average
The visitors have had 15 matches where both teams scored this season
历史交锋
A total of 4 head-to-head matches in history
Independiente Rivadavia leads with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
The last encounter on February 15, 2026 ended in a 1-0 away victory for Belgrano
关键球员
Franco Vázquez contributed 2 goals and 4 assists in 21 midfield appearances
Lucas Passerini scored 1 goal and provided 6 assists
Francisco González Metilli has scored 4 goals this season
José Florentín is one of the visitors' biggest threats in midfield with 4 goals
Alejo Osella has also scored 4 goals from defense this season
Rodrigo Atencio stands out with 4 assists in 19 games
门将
Thiago Cardozo is in goal for Belgrano with an average rating of 7.14
Emmanuel Gómez Riga guards the visitors' goal and has only made one appearance this season
影响因素
The match takes place on grass at Estadio Julio César Villagra
Belgrano's home record shows an extremely stable defense with only 7 goals conceded in 13 home games
The venue average stands at 2.2 goals per game