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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Barracas Central - Rosario Central

08/16/2026, 11:15 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Barracas Central
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Rosario Central
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
BCRC

Barracas Central

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.13
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Nicolás Demartini替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Rosario Central

防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.14
Ángel Di María未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Jáminton Campaz未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Enzo Copetti未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Gastón Ávila未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Giovanni Cantizano未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
79%进球产出缺失 (仅24%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

33%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Massive squad depletion for Rosario Central: Only 24% of the usual goal threat is available, with key players like Ángel Di María and Enzo Copetti missing
  • Strong home defense: Barracas Central concedes an average of only 0.73 goals per home match
  • Low offensive threat from visitors: Rosario Central averaged only 2.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Struggling offense for Barracas Central: With an average of 0.8 goals per match in recent form, the hosts are performing below their season average
  • Few goalscoring chances for the visitors: Rosario Central averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Balanced head-to-head history: So far, both teams have recorded one win and one loss in their two direct meetings
概述

Barracas Central (9th place, 21 points) host Rosario Central (4th place, 28 points) at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 17, 2026, 12:15 AM

Both teams look to secure crucial points in the standings

近期状态

Barracas Central enter the match with form LWWWL in recent games

Rosario Central show a form of LLDWW

Barracas lost their last game 0-2 against Gimnasia La Plata

Rosario Central won their latest match 2-1 against Aldosivi

Form string key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Barracas Central score an average of 0.90 goals per match and concede 0.85

Rosario Central score an average of 1.26 goals and concede 0.96

At home Barracas are defensive solid with 0.91 goals scored and 0.73 conceded on average

Rosario Central record 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded on their travels

The hosts have kept 7 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in history

The record is perfectly balanced with one win for each side

The last encounter on February 16, 2026 ended in a 2-0 victory for Rosario Central

Overall goals scored in head-to-head matches stand at 2-1 in favor of Rosario Central

关键球员

Tomás Porra (Midfielder, 1 goal, 4 assists, rating 6.81)

Rodrigo Insúa (Defender, 3 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.80)

Iván Tapia (Midfielder, 1 goal, 2 assists, rating 6.82)

Julián Fernández (Attacker, 2 goals, 3 assists, rating 7.01)

Pol Fernández (Midfielder, 0 goals, 1 assist, rating 6.78)

Alexis Soto (Defender, 1 goal, 0 assists, rating 6.79)

门将

Marcelo Miño is in goal for Barracas Central with a strong average rating of 7.40

Axel Werner starts for the visitors and is yet to play a match this season

Barracas have kept 7 clean sheets this season compared to 6 for Rosario Central

影响因素

Home advantage for Barracas Central at Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia on grass

The hosts concede an average of only 0.73 goals per match at home

Stadium stats show an average of 2.0 goals per match with a 60% BTTS rate

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