Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Platense - Boca Juniors
08/16/2026, 12:15 AM
预期进球
0.8
2.2
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
13%0:0
12%0:2
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Platense
Boca Juniors
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
31%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Possession dominance: Boca Juniors recently controlled an average of 66% possession and averaged 5.8 shots on target per match
- Favorite status: Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) has a calculated win probability of 48% compared to Platense (12th place)
- Squad efficiency: Platense only averages 0.7 goals scored per game this season, which poses a major challenge against Boca's solid defense (0.86 goals conceded)
风险因素
- Squad impact: Boca Juniors is missing key player Miguel Merentiel from the lineup, leaving only 81% of their typical starting strength
- Historical hurdle: Platense is undefeated in the last two head-to-head matches (1 win, 1 draw) and kept clean sheets in both
- Defensive weakness at home: Platense concedes an average of 1.56 goals per home match
概述
Platense (12th place, 16 points) hosts Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López on August 16, 2026, 2:15 AM
Boca Juniors is favored with a calculated 48% win probability
近期状态
Platense's recent form is LDLLW with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Platense won their last match 1-0 against Independiente
Boca Juniors' recent form is LLDWD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Boca Juniors recorded a 1-1 draw against Vélez Sarsfield in their last match
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Platense scores an average of 0.7 goals and concedes 1.15 goals per game this season
In home matches, Platense averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded
Boca Juniors averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded per game this season
In away matches, Boca Juniors scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 0.92 goals
历史交锋
Two head-to-head matches in recent history
Platense achieved 1 win, Boca Juniors has 0 wins, and there was 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on February 15, 2026
关键球员
Guido Mainero shows a rising form trend with 1 goal in the last 5 matches and a 7.04 rating
Nicolás Retamar has 1 goal and 2 assists this season with an average rating of 6.74
Ignacio Vázquez stabilizes the defense with an average season rating of 6.98
Santiago Ascacíbar is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches and 5 season goals
Leandro Paredes contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season with a high average rating of 7.61
Lautaro Blanco provided 2 assists over his last 5 matches
门将
Juan Pablo Cozzani played the last 5 matches with an average rating of 6.90
Platense has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Álvaro Montero kept goal in 4 of the last 5 matches with a rating of 6.69
Boca Juniors has achieved 10 clean sheets in the ongoing campaign
影响因素
Home advantage for Platense at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López on grass
Platense is less effective offensively at home with only 0.67 goals scored per game
Historical matches at this venue show an average of 2.6 goals per game