Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Defensa y Justicia
08/17/2026, 10:15 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Defensa y Justicia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
28%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Vélez Sarsfield conceded an average of only 0.71 goals per game this season
- Offensive tactical threat: Defensa y Justicia recently averaged 6.0 shots on target and 62.4% possession
- Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a 67% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
- Visitors' form crisis: Defensa y Justicia shows a negative form trend with goal production stalling at 1.2 goals per game
- Away defensive weakness: The visitors concede an average of 1.4 goals in away games
- Limited historical data: Only 2 head-to-head matches are available as a historical basis for comparison
概述
Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 28 points) hosts Defensa y Justicia (10th place, 19 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 17, 2026, 11:15 PM
An important clash at Estadio José Amalfitani for positions in the standings
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield shows stable form with the record LWWWD
The hosts recently took 3 wins and a draw from their past 5 matches
Defensa y Justicia travels with the record LDWLW, recording 2 wins and 2 losses recently
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.14 goals per game and concedes only 0.71 goals
The visitors average 1.15 goals but concede 1.35 goals per game
In home games, the hosts average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded
Away from home, Defensa y Justicia concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches in history
Vélez Sarsfield leads the record with one win and one draw
The last encounter on February 14, 2026 ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
Manuel Lanzini scored 4 goals this season with an average rating of 7.18
Lucas Robertone shows rising form with one assist in the recent period
Matías Pellegrini scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists so far this season
Juan Gutiérrez stands out for the visitors with 4 goals and 3 assists this season
Ayrton Portillo contributed 3 goals and one assist this season
David Barbona shows rising form with 2 goals in the last 5 games
门将
Tomás Marchiori is in goal for the hosts and has a strong season rating of 7.49
Matías Borgogno guards the goal for Defensa y Justicia with an average rating of 7.05
The hosts have kept 9 clean sheets so far this season
The visitors have recorded 5 clean sheets this campaign
影响因素
The match takes place on grass at Estadio José Amalfitani
Historical stadium statistics show an average of 1.8 goals per game at this venue
The historical rate for both teams to score at this venue is 40%