Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Lanús - Independiente
08/17/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Lanús
Independiente
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
31%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Home defensive advantage: Lanús concedes only 0.67 goals on average at home
- Tactical metrics: Lanús averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches compared to Independiente's 3.8
- Mathematical favorability: The model calculates a 50% home win probability for Lanús
风险因素
- Key absences for Independiente: Missing Matías Abaldo (5 goals) and Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 goals) leaves only 80% of regular starting strength
- Head-to-head record: Independiente won the last direct matchup 2-0 playing away
- Extremely low scoring trend: Recent games at this venue averaged only 0.6 total goals per match with 0% BTTS
概述
Lanús (6th place, 24 points) host Independiente (5th place, 24 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 17, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams enter this match level on points
近期状态
Lanús form: LWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Independiente form: LWWLL
Lanús won their last match 3-0 away against Talleres Córdoba
Independiente lost their last match 0-1 at home against Platense
统计数据
Lanús averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
At home Lanús concedes only 0.67 goals per match with 6 clean sheets
Independiente averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded away
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches
Independiente with 2 wins, Lanús with 1 win and 1 draw
Their last meeting on February 13, 2026 ended 2-0 in favor of Independiente
关键球员
Dylan Aquino (6 goals, 2 assists)
Carlos Izquierdoz (Defender, 7.09 average rating)
Felipe Peña Biafore (Midfielder, 6.81 average rating, 1 goal in the last 5 matches)
门将
Nahuel Losada (7.11 average rating, 9 clean sheets)
Rodrigo Rey (6.79 average rating, 6 clean sheets)
影响因素
Strong home defense for Lanús conceding only 0.67 goals per match
Extremely low scoring history at the venue with 0.6 average goals per match
Played on natural grass