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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Aldosivi - Tigre

08/15/2026, 05:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Aldosivi
0.8
Total xG
2.0
Tigre
1.1
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

10%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
ALDTIG

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.52
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.07
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.6 赛季平均)
+0.07
Nicolás Cordero替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Tomás Fernández未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅31%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.9球 vs 总体0.6球)

Tigre

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.38
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Gonzalo Martínez未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

34%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

66%

双方进球

41%

60%

关键因素
  • Tactical edge: Tigre recently averaged 4.0 shots on target per match compared to Aldosivi's 3.4
  • Squad impact: Aldosivi is severely weakened without Nicolás Cordero and Tomás Fernández, leaving only 31% of their active goal share available
  • Historical dominance: Tigre won all 3 previous head-to-head encounters without conceding a single goal
风险因素
  • Offensive struggle: Aldosivi failed to score in 11 out of 20 matches this season
  • Low attacking output: Aldosivi averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Aldosivi host Tigre at the Estadio José María Minella

Match on August 15, 2026, 5:30 PM

Aldosivi are currently in 14th place with 8 points

Tigre occupy 10th place with 20 points

The away team enters the match as favorites

近期状态

Aldosivi are struggling with the form string DDLLL

The home team has suffered 3 consecutive losses

Tigre show more stability with the form string DLWDW

The visitors recorded 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games

统计数据

Aldosivi average only 0.45 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per match

At home, Aldosivi's defense is more solid, conceding 0.78 goals per game

Tigre score an average of 1.1 goals and concede 0.85 goals per game

The away side remains dangerous on the road with 1.11 goals scored per match

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches so far

Tigre dominate the history with 3 wins and 0 losses

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Tigre on February 12, 2026

Aldosivi has never scored against Tigre with a goal difference of 0:5

关键球员

Alan Sosa scored 1 goal in 14 games with an average rating of 6.85

Nicolás Gaitán has 1 goal in 2 games with a rating of 6.95

Ignacio Russo leads Tigre with 6 goals and 3 assists this season

门将

Lucas Acosta starts for Aldosivi with a season rating of 6.1

Lautaro Morales has no appearances for Tigre in this campaign

Aldosivi kept 4 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio José María Minella

Matches at this venue produce an average of 1.8 goals per game

The both-teams-to-score rate at this stadium is 60%

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