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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Atlético Tucumán

08/17/2026, 05:45 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.9
Total xG
2.3
Atlético Tucumán
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
EDRCAT

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.54
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.33
状态上升 (0.5 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.03
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.00
14%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.8球 vs 总体0.4球)

Atlético Tucumán

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.84
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
Leandro Díaz未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Maximiliano Villa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.45
-0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

31%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Offensive upward trend: Both teams currently score more frequently than their season averages (Home 0.5 vs 0.4, Away 1.3 vs 1.1)
  • Advantage for the visitors according to mathematical analysis: The prediction model calculates an away win probability of 45%
  • Tactical setup: Both teams recently played counter-oriented styles with low possession (Home 41%, Away 39%)
风险因素
  • Leandro Díaz and Maximiliano Villa are missing for the visitors, leaving only 57% of usual goal production available
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of only 0.36 goals per home game
  • The home team averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match recently
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host Atlético Tucumán

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 17, 2026, 6:45 PM

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is in 15th place with 5 points

Atlético Tucumán is in 13th place with 14 points

A crucial matchup in the lower part of the table

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto form: LWLDL

The home team recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses recently

Atlético Tucumán form: WDWDL

The away team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores an average of 0.35 goals and concedes 1.45 goals per game

In home games, the home team scores an average of 0.36 goals and concedes 0.71 goals

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.9 goals and concedes 1.1 goals per match

In away games, the visitors score an average of 0.9 goals and concede 1.4 goals

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Atlético Tucumán recorded 8 clean sheets

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match

Atlético Tucumán won this match

The last meeting ended 0-4 in favor of Atlético Tucumán

Goal difference of 0-4 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

关键球员

Gabriel Alanís scored 2 goals this season with an average rating of 6.74

Sergio Ojeda recorded 1 goal this season and a rating of 6.71

Matías Valenti contributed 1 assist with a rating of 6.66

Renzo Tesuri scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season with a rating of 6.55

Franco Nicola also has 2 goals and 1 assist this season with a rating of 6.83

Clever Ferreira contributed 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.11

门将

Lucas Bruera made 4 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.97

Luis Ingolotti played 20 matches and achieved a rating of 6.73

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto achieved 5 clean sheets this season, while Atlético Tucumán kept 8 clean sheets

影响因素

An average of 1.8 goals per game were scored recently at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 matches at this venue

The match is played on natural grass

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