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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

08/22/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Gimnasia La Plata
1.4
Total xG
2.3
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
GLPGYEM

Gimnasia La Plata

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Alexis Steimbach未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均0.5球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

31%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

69%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Mendoza's severe away defensive issues: Conceding an average of 3.2 goals per away game this season
  • La Plata's formidable home defense: Conceding only 0.83 goals per home match with 5 clean sheets
  • Striker in peak form: Agustín Módica has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches for Mendoza
风险因素
  • Loss of creativity for the hosts: Alexis Steimbach is out, missing 19% of the team's seasonal assists
  • Lack of rest for Mendoza: Playing with only 4 days of recovery since their last official match
概述

Gimnasia La Plata host Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

6th-placed hosts face 11th-placed Mendoza

近期状态

Gimnasia La Plata enter the match with a form of LWWWL

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza display a form of WLWLW

Both teams achieved three wins and two losses over their last five matches

统计数据

La Plata average 1.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded at home

Mendoza struggle heavily away from home, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game

La Plata have secured 5 clean sheets in their 12 home matches so far

历史交锋

There has been only one head-to-head encounter between these clubs

Mendoza won that single match 1-0 at home

关键球员

Nacho Fernández controls the home midfield with a strong season rating of 7.00

Agustín Módica leads Mendoza's attack with 9 goals this season, scoring 5 in his last 5 appearances

Agustín Colazo scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches for the home side

门将

Nelson Insfrán has already secured 8 clean sheets for the home team this season

Cesar Rigamonti guards Mendoza's goal with a reliable 7.07 season rating

影响因素

The match will be played at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo on grass

La Plata benefit from a highly stable defensive setup in front of their home fans

Venue history suggests a low-scoring game with an average of 1.8 goals per match

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