Liga Profesional de Fútbol
River Plate - Vélez Sarsfield
08/23/2026, 10:15 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
River Plate
Vélez Sarsfield
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
27%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Only 45% of the goal threat is available for River Plate, without Gonzalo Montiel and Tomás Galván
- Form contrast: Vélez Sarsfield is currently scoring more (1.4) than their season average, while River Plate's goal production recently slowed down to 0.4
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 56% for River Plate
风险因素
- River Plate recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target despite 65% possession
- Low scoring rate at Estadio Mâs Monumental with an average of only 1.4 goals per match
概述
River Plate (2nd place, 29 points) host Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 28 points) at Estadio Mâs Monumental
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 23, 2026, 11:15 PM
A direct clash in the upper part of the table with only one point separating them
近期状态
River Plate's form is LL-LL-W with 1 win and 4 losses in recent matches
Vélez Sarsfield's form is WW-WD-D with 3 wins and 2 draws (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
River Plate recently ended a 4-game losing streak with a 2-0 win over Argentinos Juniors
Vélez Sarsfield remains unbeaten in their last 5 matches
统计数据
River Plate scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 0.84 goals per game this season
Vélez Sarsfield averages 1.14 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded
In home games, River Plate scores 1.21 goals on average and concedes 0.79
In away games, Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.18 goals on average while conceding 0.73
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1, Vélez Sarsfield won 1, and 2 ended in draws
The goal difference in these meetings stands at 5-3 in favor of River Plate
The last head-to-head match on February 22, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Vélez Sarsfield
关键球员
Lucas Martínez Quarta scored 2 goals in 24 defender appearances this season, keeping an average rating of 7.05
Ángel Correa scored 1 goal in 4 forward appearances with a rating of 7.05
Aníbal Moreno provided 3 assists in 23 midfield appearances with a rating of 7.04
Manuel Lanzini has scored 5 goals in 22 midfield appearances this season with a rating of 7.22
Matías Pellegrini has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 17 forward appearances
Thiago Silvero has scored 1 goal in 9 defender appearances with a rating of 7.04
Not in squad: Dilan Godoy
门将
Santiago Beltrán has played 25 matches in goal this season, holding an average rating of 6.83
Tomás Marchiori has made 5 appearances in goal this season, maintaining a rating of 7.27
River Plate has kept 10 clean sheets this season, while Vélez Sarsfield has recorded 9 clean sheets
影响因素
River Plate has played 19 home games this season, scoring 1.21 goals and conceding 0.79 goals on average
The Estadio Mâs Monumental averages 1.4 total goals per match
None of the last 5 matches at this venue saw both teams score (0% BTTS)