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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia

08/23/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Belgrano
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Defensa y Justicia
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BELDYJ

Belgrano

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Lucas Zelarayán 替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Defensa y Justicia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

33%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

67%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Home defense strength: Belgrano concede only 0.50 goals per game on average in their own stadium
  • Tactical control: Defensa y Justicia dominated possession recently with an average of 59.6% and averaged 6.4 shots on target per match
  • Form trend: Nicolás Fernández is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 4 matches for Belgrano
风险因素
  • Key absence: Lucas Zelarayán (4 goals, 3 assists) is not included in Belgrano's squad
  • Away defensive issues: Defensa y Justicia concede an average of 1.36 goals per away game
  • Close matchup: The mathematical probability of a draw is predicted at 33%
概述

Belgrano host Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 23, 2026, 10:00 PM

Fifth-placed Belgrano with 26 points challenge tenth-placed Defensa y Justicia with 19 points

近期状态

Belgrano with form WLDWW and two consecutive wins

Defensa y Justicia with form DWLWD

Belgrano recorded 3 wins in their last 5 games

Defensa y Justicia got 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Belgrano average 1.20 goals scored and 0.72 goals conceded this season

Strong home record for Belgrano with only 0.50 goals conceded per game on average

Defensa y Justicia score 1.09 goals and concede 1.36 goals on average in away matches

Home matches of Belgrano average 2.40 total goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Defensa y Justicia lead with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Belgrano and 1 draw

Balanced goal record of 5:5 goals

The last meeting on February 20, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

Nicolás Fernández has 5 goals and 4 assists this season for Belgrano

Lucas Passerini contributed 1 goal and 6 assists so far

Juan Gutiérrez is the top scorer for the guests with 4 goals and 4 assists

David Barbona scored 3 goals in 14 appearances

门将

Thiago Cardozo played 24 matches for Belgrano keeping 13 clean sheets

Matías Borgogno played 5 games for the guests whose team kept 5 clean sheets in total

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Strong home factor for Belgrano with only 7 goals conceded in 14 home games

Historically, matches at Belgrano's stadium average 2.40 goals per game

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