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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Sarmiento - Estudiantes

08/23/2026, 05:45 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Sarmiento
0.9
Total xG
1.8
Estudiantes
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

13%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
SAREST

Sarmiento

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.26
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第1位, 相差10位)
-0.10

Estudiantes

排名优势 (第1位 vs 第11位, 相差10位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Tiago Palacios未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Joaquín Tobio Burgos替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Guido Carrillo替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Gastón Benedetti替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

36%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

56%

Under 1.5

44%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

64%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Sarmiento currently score more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Estudiantes dominated recent matches with an average of 58% possession and 5.0 shots on target
  • Sarmiento played counter-oriented recently with an average of 43% possession and 4.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
  • Low probability of a high-scoring game (only 28% for over 2.5 goals)
  • Estudiantes failed to score in 10 matches this season
概述

Sarmiento (11th place, 19 points) host Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 23, 2026, 5:45 PM

Estudiantes travel as league leaders, Sarmiento aim to build on home form

近期状态

Sarmiento show an upward trend with three consecutive wins (LLWWW)

Hosts' summary: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses

Estudiantes stabilized with a win after a weaker phase (LWLLW)

Away team's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sarmiento average 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match

At home, Sarmiento are defensively stable conceding just 0.71 goals

Estudiantes concede an extremely low average of 0.59 goals

The visitors have kept 11 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

Balanced history with one win each in 2 head-to-head matches

The last encounter on February 20, 2026 ended 1-0 for Estudiantes

Goal ratio is 2-1 in favor of Sarmiento

关键球员

Junior Marabel is Sarmiento's top scorer with 10 goals and 3 assists

Julián Mavilla contributed 2 goals in 4 appearances for the hosts

Alexis Castro shapes the visitors' midfield with 4 goals this season

Not selected: Tiago Palacios (4 goals / 3 assists), Joaquín Tobio Burgos (1 goal / 3 assists), Guido Carrillo (2 goals / 2 assists), Gastón Benedetti (0 goals / 2 assists)

门将

Thyago Ayala guards Sarmiento's goal with a strong rating of 7.41

Fernando Muslera plays reliably in goal for the visitors with 15 matches

Sarmiento record 6 clean sheets, while Estudiantes hold 11 clean sheets

影响因素

Estadio Eva Perón de Junín averages 2.8 total goals per match

Sarmiento count on their defensive home advantage

The match is played on natural grass

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