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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Newell's Old Boys - Banfield

08/23/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Newell's Old Boys
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Banfield
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
NOBBAN

Newell's Old Boys

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.04

Banfield

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.36
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
Tiziano Perrota未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
David Zalazar未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Bruno Sepúlveda替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
67%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

34%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Visitor disadvantage: Banfield's lineup is heavily weakened with only 66% of their seasonal goal production available, missing key players like Tiziano Perrota
  • Historical dominance: Banfield has won all of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Newell's with a goal difference of 10:1
  • Model advantage: The statistical prediction estimates a 70% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
  • Severe lineup issues for Banfield: Tiziano Perrota, David Zalazar, and Bruno Sepúlveda are missing, leaving only 66% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Low offensive efficiency: Newell's averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Away defensive struggles: Banfield concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away match
概述

Newell's Old Boys host Banfield at the Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 23, 2026, 2:00 AM

A lower-table clash with Newell's in 14th place and Banfield in 12th place

近期状态

Both teams share an identical record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Stable form curves with Newell's at WLDLW and Banfield at LWDLW

Newell's shows a positive recent trend with 1.2 goals scored per game

统计数据

Newell's scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 1.09 at home

Banfield struggles defensively on the road with 1.75 goals conceded per away match

Low scoring expected with only a 34.6% model probability for over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

Banfield completely dominates the history with 4 wins in 4 matches

Goal difference of 10:1 in favor of the visitors in these direct duels

The last meeting ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Banfield

关键球员

Walter Mazzantti leads the home attack with a strong season rating of 7.03

Facundo Guch contributes to Newell's attack with 2 goals and 3 assists this season

Alexander Machado has scored 1 goal in his single season appearance for Banfield

门将

Josué Reinatti has 4 clean sheets for the hosts with an impressive rating of 7.15

Gino Santilli starts for Banfield after only one season appearance rating of 6.75

影响因素

Home advantage on the grass pitch of Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Venue history indicates a low-scoring average of 1.8 goals per match

The model predicts a 70% probability for a home win or draw

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