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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - Instituto

08/22/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
0.9
Total xG
2.4
Instituto
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

11%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
ATINS

Atlético Tucumán

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
Leandro Díaz替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
Maximiliano Villa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅66%可用)

Instituto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.78倍)
+0.96
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.01
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.01
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.44
-0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

29%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

71%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Form advantage for the visitors: The model calculates a 50% probability for an away win, supported by Instituto's current 4-game winning streak
  • Tactical superiority: Instituto averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Tucumán's average of 3.0 shots on target
  • Offensive quality: Instituto registered a significantly higher expected goals value (1.80 xG) in recent games compared to Tucumán (0,83 xG)
风险因素
  • Leandro Díaz, Maximiliano Villa missing, only 66% of seasonal goal threat available
  • Low-scoring environment: The Estadio Monumental averages just 1.2 goals per game, which could lead to a slow and defensive match
概述

Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 14 points) host Instituto (9th place, 21 points) at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 22, 2026, 8:00 PM

Instituto aim to move up the table while Tucumán urgently need points

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán shows inconsistent form with "DWDLW" (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Most recently, they won 1-0 away at Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Instituto travel in great form: "LWWWW" (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)

The visitors are on a 4-game winning streak, recently beating Central Cordoba SdE 1-0

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán scores an average of 0.9 goals and concedes 1.05 goals per game

At home, they have scored 9 goals and conceded 8 in 10 matches

Instituto averages 1.05 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game

Away from home, the visitors have an 8-10 goal record in 8 matches

Tucumán's home ground averages a low 1.2 total goals per match

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, both teams have won 2 games each with no draws

The overall goal record is 5-6 against Tucumán

Their last meeting on February 20, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home win for Instituto

关键球员

For Atlético Tucumán, Clever Ferreira (defender, 2 goals, 1 assist), Luciano Andrés Vallejo (defender, 1 goal), and Renzo Tesuri (midfielder, 2 goals, 1 assist) stand out

For Instituto, Alex Luna (midfielder, 6 goals, 1 assist), Diego Sosa (defender, 1 goal, 4 assists), and Giuliano Cerato (defender, 3 goals, 1 assist) are key

门将

Luis Ingolotti starts in goal for Tucumán with 5 clean sheets this season

Marcos Ledesma plays for Instituto, who have kept 7 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

Tucumán's home advantage is backed by 9 goals scored and 8 conceded at the Estadio Monumental

The stadium has a defensive profile with an average of just 1.2 goals per game

The match will be played on natural grass

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