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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia

08/22/2026, 09:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Independiente
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Independiente Rivadavia
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
INDIR

Independiente

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Matías Abaldo替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Maximiliano Gutiérrez替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Independiente Rivadavia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.36
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.15
Fabrizio Sartori未进大名单 (7球, 0助攻)
Alejo Osella未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Gonzalo Ríos未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

32%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Balanced mathematical predictions with a 33% home win and a 35% away win probability
  • Independiente Rivadavia recently dominated possession with an average of 56.2% and averaged 4.4 shots on target
  • Independiente's strong home defense with only 0.91 goals conceded per home game meets a highly productive away attack averaging 1.57 goals
风险因素
  • According to data analysis, both teams' goal production has recently stalled compared to their season averages
  • Independiente Rivadavia play with only 78% of their usual starting lineup strength, missing the injured or non-selected Fabrizio Sartori and Alejo Osella
概述

Independiente host Independiente Rivadavia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 22, 2026, 11:30 PM

Table leaders Independiente Rivadavia with 34 points travel to fifth-placed Independiente with 24 points

A crucial clash in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Independiente show a form of WWLLW with 3 wins and 2 losses

Most recently they secured a 3-1 win against Lanús

Independiente Rivadavia show a form of DWLWL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Most recently they suffered a 0-2 defeat against Belgrano

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Independiente score an average of 1.41 goals and concede 1.18 goals per game this season

In home matches their average is 1.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded

Independiente Rivadavia score an average of 1.59 goals and concede 1.05 goals

On the road the visitors score an average of 1.57 goals while conceding 1.29

Independiente's home record shows 4 clean sheets

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches

Independiente Rivadavia lead the record with 2 wins to 0 wins and 1 draw

The last encounter on February 21, 2026, ended 3-2 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia

The overall goals stand at 5-3 in favor of Independiente Rivadavia

关键球员

Gabriel Ávalos scored 11 goals and provided 5 assists in 22 matches with an average rating of 7.34

Santiago Montiel scored 2 goals and recorded 2 assists in his last 5 matches with a rating of 7.71

Lautaro Millán scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches

Álex Arce scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.46

Matías Fernández scored 1 goal and made 3 assists in his last 4 games with a rating of 7.43

José Florentín recorded 4 goals in 21 appearances with a rating of 7.13

门将

Rodrigo Rey is in goal for Independiente, recording 6 clean sheets and a season average rating of 6.82

Nicolás Bolcato guards the net for Independiente Rivadavia with 5 clean sheets and a rating of 6.81

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente's home record shows a solid output with 16 goals scored in 11 matches in front of their home crowd

In the 5 home games played so far, there has been an average of 2.0 goals per match

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