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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Lorenzo

08/21/2026, 11:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.8
Total xG
1.8
San Lorenzo
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
EDRCSL

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.49
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.38
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.07
状态上升 (0.5 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.03
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
+0.00
14%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.8球 vs 总体0.4球)

San Lorenzo

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.04
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.01
Facundo Gulli未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
M. de Ritis替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

37%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

74%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

63%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 71% probability of a draw or away win for San Lorenzo
  • San Lorenzo averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to just 2.0 for the hosts
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto suffer from an extreme goal drought failing to score in 15 of 21 games this season
风险因素
  • Estudiantes de Río Cuarto average only 0.33 goals per home game
  • San Lorenzo have to cope without the non-nominated Facundo Gulli and M. de Ritis
  • The model predicts a low-scoring match with only a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto host San Lorenzo

Match on August 21, 2026, 11:00 PM at Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

Clash between the 15th-placed side with 5 points and the 7th-placed team with 22 points

San Lorenzo travels as the clear favorite against the bottom side

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto show form WLDLL with 1 win and 3 losses

The home team's trend is positive as they currently score more frequently

San Lorenzo arrive with form LWLLW and 2 wins from their last 5 games

The away side shows a negative trend as their goal production has stalled

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scored an average of 0.33 goals per game this season

The home side failed to score in 15 out of 21 games this season

San Lorenzo concede an average of just 0.91 goals per game

The visitors have already kept 11 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

This single encounter was won by San Lorenzo

The last match ended in a 2-0 win for San Lorenzo on February 22, 2026

The historical goal record stands at 2-0 in favor of the visitors

关键球员

Gabriel Alanís is a key midfielder for the hosts with 2 goals and a 6.76 rating

Sergio Ojeda stabilizes the hosts' defense with 1 goal and a 6.75 rating

Rodrigo Auzmendi is the visitors' biggest threat with 6 goals and a 6.91 rating

Alexis Cuello has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists for San Lorenzo so far

门将

Lucas Bruera starts in goal for the hosts, maintaining a consistent season rating of 6.94

José Devecchi occupies the visitors' goal with an average rating of 6.61

The goalkeepers show different statistical performances in the ongoing season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

The stadium historically averages 1.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in only 20% of the last 5 home games

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