Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente - Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
08/30/2026, 10:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Independiente
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
31%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Only 54% of goal threat available, without Gabriel Ávalos, Matías Abaldo, Santiago Arias
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza scores more frequently at the moment (1.6) than their season average (1.1)
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 48%
风险因素
- Independiente averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game
- Independiente's goal production is currently stalling with an average of 1.0 goal compared to the season average (1.4)
概述
Independiente hosts Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 30, 2026, 10:15 PM
The 5th-placed team faces the 11th-placed side
Independiente aims to stay close to the top with 24 points
Gimnasia travels with 19 points
近期状态
Independiente enters with form WLLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Most recently they recorded a scoreless draw against Independiente Rivadavia
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza shows a form curve of LWLWW
The visitors travel with two consecutive wins
统计数据
Independiente scores an average of 1.35 goals and concedes 1.13 this season
At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.83 goals per game
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza averages 1.00 goals scored per away match
However, the visitors concede an average of 2.25 goals on the road
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams
This single encounter ended in a draw
The last game on February 25, 2026, ended 1:1
The historical record is completely balanced
关键球员
Santiago Montiel impresses with a season average of 6.97 and rising form
Lautaro Millán scored two goals in recent matches with a rating of 7.36
Agustín Módica has 12 goals this season and scored seven times in his last five games
门将
Rodrigo Rey played 23 season games with an average rating of 6.84
Cesar Rigamonti has 20 appearances and impresses with a rating of 7.04
Cesar Rigamonti showed a rising form trend with a rating of 7.39 recently
影响因素
Independiente benefits from home advantage at the Estadio Libertadores de América
In the last 5 home games, an average of only 1.4 goals were scored
The match will be played on a grass surface