🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano

08/30/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Atlético Tucumán
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Belgrano
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
ATBEL

Atlético Tucumán

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第5位, 相差8位)
-0.10
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
+0.03
Maximiliano Villa替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Belgrano

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第13位, 相差8位)
+0.04
Lucas Passerini 替补席 (1球, 7助攻)
Lucas Zelarayán 未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
防守不足 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

32%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Belgrano won both head-to-head meetings with a 7-3 goal aggregate
  • Tactical edge: Belgrano averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to Atlético Tucumán's 3.4
  • Form divergence: Atlético Tucumán has a positive trend whereas Belgrano's recent form is negative
风险因素
  • Defensive blow: G. Suso is missing for Atlético Tucumán due to a cruciate ligament tear
  • Low scoring venue: Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro averages just 1.0 goals per game recently
  • Missing key assets: Lucas Passerini and Lucas Zelarayán are not in the lineup for Belgrano
概述

Atlético Tucumán (13th place, 14 points) hosts Belgrano (5th place, 26 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 30, 2026, 2:30 AM

A highly balanced clash at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

近期状态

Atlético Tucumán shows a rising trend with a form of WDLWD

The home side is unbeaten in their last two matches after a 0-0 draw against Instituto

Belgrano approaches with a form of LDWWL after a loss in their last game

The visitors show a slightly declining form trend according to recent statistics

统计数据

Atlético Tucumán averages 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home

The home team kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches at their own stadium

Belgrano averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded on their travels

The visitors have recorded 13 clean sheets overall this season

历史交锋

Belgrano dominates the historical record with 2 wins in 2 matches

The visitors scored 7 goals and conceded 3 in these meetings

The last head-to-head match on February 25, 2026, ended in a 3-1 win for Belgrano

关键球员

Leandro Díaz with 7 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.01

Clever Ferreira with 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.15

Luciano Andrés Vallejo with 1 goal with a rating of 6.84

Nicolás Fernández with 5 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.82

Francisco González Metilli with 4 goals with a rating of 6.99

Lisandro López with 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.25

门将

Luis Ingolotti guards the goal for Atlético Tucumán with a rating of 6.76 and 10 clean sheets

Thiago Cardozo is in goal for Belgrano with a rating of 7.08 and 13 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

The stadium historically sees low-scoring matches with an average of 1.0 goals per game

Only one of the last five home matches featured over 2.5 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。