Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento
08/28/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.4
0.8
1:0
13%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Unión Santa Fe
Sarmiento
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
27%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Sarmiento's glaring away weakness with an average of 2.57 goals conceded per game compared to Unión's solid home defense (0.8 conceded per home game)
- The mathematical model calculates a 57% probability of a home win and expects 1.65 home goals
- Not selected for the hosts: Julián Palacios (3 goals, 8 assists) and Lautaro Vargas (0 goals, 2 assists)
风险因素
- Unión Santa Fe's goal production is stalling, averaging 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.6
- Sarmiento is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.2
- The hosts are missing 60% of their seasonal assists due to squad absences
概述
Unión Santa Fe (8th place, 21 points) hosts Sarmiento (11th place, 19 points)
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match at Estadio 15 de Abril on August 28, 2026, 10:00 PM
A tight mid-table clash is expected
近期状态
Unión Santa Fe has a mixed form with LWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches
Sarmiento travels with strong momentum, winning four of their last five games (LWWWW)
The hosts have struggled recently, whereas the visitors' trend is pointing upwards
统计数据
Unión Santa Fe averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home
Sarmiento has major defensive issues away, conceding an average of 2.57 goals per away game
Unión's solid home record faces Sarmiento's vulnerable away defense
历史交锋
Balanced head-to-head history with one victory for each side in 2 direct encounters
The last direct meeting ended in a 3:1 victory
There has been no draw in the recent meetings between these teams
关键球员
Cristian Tarragona is the hosts' top threat with 11 goals this season
Lucas Menossi has been in good form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches for the home side
Junior Marabel leads Sarmiento's attack with 10 goals and 4 assists this season
门将
Matías Mansilla played 24 matches for Unión Santa Fe this season, keeping 5 clean sheets
Thyago Ayala has 4 appearances for Sarmiento with a strong average rating of 7.64
影响因素
Solid home advantage for Unión Santa Fe at Estadio 15 de Abril
The venue averages 2.4 total goals per game
Natural grass pitch provides familiar conditions for both teams