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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Banfield - River Plate

08/30/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Banfield
1.0
Total xG
2.7
River Plate
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
BANRP

Banfield

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.11
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍)
-0.05
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.03
Tiziano Perrota未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
David Zalazar未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.1球)

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+1.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.08
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.02
Aníbal Moreno替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Joaquín Freitas替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

28%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

72%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Visitors as favorites: The mathematical analysis sees River Plate with a 50% probability of winning
  • Tactical dominance: River Plate controlled play in past matches with an average of 61% possession
  • Dangerous counters: Banfield averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Weakened home attack: Tiziano Perrota and David Zalazar are missing, leaving only 68% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Struggling visitors' offense: River Plate's goal production has stalled at an average of 0.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.32
概述

Banfield hosts River Plate at Estadio Florencio Sola

Liga Profesional de Fútbol on August 30, 2026, 6:00 PM

Clash between the 12th-placed team and the 2nd-placed team

River Plate is the favorite with 29 points against Banfield with 18 points

近期状态

Form history Banfield: WDLWL

Banfield recently recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Form history River Plate: LLLWD

River Plate recently recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Banfield scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.18 goals

River Plate scores an average of 1.27 goals per game and concedes 0.88 goals

Banfield scored more recently with 1.3 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.1

River Plate's goal production has stalled at 0.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.32

Banfield kept 6 clean sheets this season while River Plate kept 10 clean sheets

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in the database

River Plate won both previous games

Goal ratio of 6:2 in favor of River Plate

The last encounter ended 3:1 for River Plate on February 26, 2026

关键球员

Santiago López García scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists in 22 appearances

Alexander Machado has scored 1 goal in 2 season appearances with a 7.14 rating

Sebastián Driussi scored 5 goals in 16 appearances for River Plate

门将

Santiago Beltrán guards the goal for the visitors with 26 appearances this season

The home goalkeeper is Aleksandr Petrosyan

Santiago Beltrán has already kept 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Banfield scored 13 goals and conceded 10 in 13 home matches

River Plate scored 8 goals and conceded 6 in 6 away matches

The venue averages 2.2 total goals per match

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