Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Estudiantes - Newell's Old Boys
08/31/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
8%xG 分解
Estudiantes
Newell's Old Boys
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
31%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Table leadership and home strength: Estudiantes leads the league and has conceded only 7 goals in 16 home matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 49% home win probability with 1.36 expected goals
- Offensive dominance: Estudiantes averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to 3.2 for the visitors
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability on the road: Newell's Old Boys concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away match
- Low offensive threat: The visitors averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Inconsistent form for Estudiantes: The hosts lost 3 of their last 5 matches (WLLWL)
概述
Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points) hosts Newell's Old Boys (14th place, 15 points) at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 31, 2026, 10:00 PM
The hosts enter the game as the clear favorites
近期状态
Estudiantes with a form of WLLWL (2 wins, 3 losses)
Their last result was a 0-2 loss against Sarmiento
Newell's Old Boys shows a form trend of LDLWW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
The visitors travel with two consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Estudiantes averages 1.13 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.65 goals
Newell's Old Boys averages 1.05 goals scored and concedes 1.5 goals per match
Estudiantes kept 11 clean sheets so far this season
Away from home, the visitors struggle with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
No wins for Newell's Old Boys, 2 draws and 2 wins for Estudiantes
The last meeting ended 2-0 for Estudiantes on February 25, 2026
Estudiantes scored a total of 8 goals, Newell's Old Boys 3
关键球员
Ezequiel Piovi excels in midfield with a rating of 7.03 and a rising trend
Eros Mancuso brings stability to defense, averaging a 7.17 rating recently
Guido Carrillo leads the attack with 2 goals and 2 assists this season
For the visitors, Matías Cóccaro shines upfront with 5 goals and rising form
Facundo Guch orchestrates midfield with 2 goals, 4 assists, and a 6.88 rating
Walter Mazzantti strengthens the offense with 2 goals and 2 assists this season
门将
Fernando Muslera has played 16 matches in goal for Estudiantes this season, maintaining an average rating of 7.21
On the other side, Josué Reinatti guards the net for Newell's Old Boys, recording a 7.17 rating across 11 appearances
Estudiantes holds a much more stable defensive record with 11 clean sheets compared to the visitors (4 clean sheets)
影响因素
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes is known for high-scoring matches, averaging 3.5 goals per game
Estudiantes shows a strong home record, conceding only 7 goals in 16 home games
Recent matches at this venue registered an Over 2.5 rate of 75%