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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Instituto - San Lorenzo

09/01/2026, 12:15 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Instituto
1.3
Total xG
1.9
San Lorenzo
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

18%

0:0

16%

2:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
INSSL

Instituto

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.28
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.01
Alex Luna替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
32%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)

San Lorenzo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.56
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.15
M. de Ritis未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.41
-0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

31%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

69%

双方进球

34%

66%

关键因素
  • Excellent home form: Instituto is unbeaten in their last 5 games (WWWWD) and is analyzed as the 54% favorite by the model
  • Tactical dominance: Instituto averaged 5.8 shots on target per game in their recent fixtures
  • Rising attacking trend: Instituto is currently scoring more frequently (1.3 goals per game) compared to their season average
风险因素
  • Squad impact: Attacking threat Alex Luna is missing from Instituto's lineup
  • Defensive resilience of the visitors: San Lorenzo concedes just 0.88 goals per away game on average
  • Low-scoring history: The head-to-head record features only 3 goals for each team across 4 games, indicating a tight match
概述

Instituto (9th place, 21 points) hosts San Lorenzo (7th place, 22 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 1, 2026, 2:15 AM

A tight mid-table clash is expected

近期状态

Instituto is in highly stable form with WWWWD

They recently achieved 4 wins and 1 draw

San Lorenzo enters with form WLLWD

The visitors recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

统计数据

Instituto has scored an average of 1.0 goal per game so far

The home team concedes just 0.64 goals per game at home on average

San Lorenzo has already kept 12 clean sheets defensively this season

Away from home, the visitors average only 0.75 goals per match

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches so far

San Lorenzo won 2 times, while Instituto won once with 1 draw

The goal difference is balanced at 3:3 goals

The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on February 24, 2026

关键球员

Fernando Alarcón is in great form with an average rating of 7.26

Matías Gallardo impresses in midfield with a rating of 7.18 in recent matches

Diego Sosa has already contributed 4 assists this season

For the visitors, Nicolás Tripichio shines with a rating of 7.26 in recent games

Danilo Arboleda convinces with strong defensive performances

Matías Reali remains a crucial asset in attack

门将

Marcos Ledesma is in goal for Instituto and showed solid performances recently

José Devecchi guards the goal for San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo already kept 12 clean sheets due to strong defensive work

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

The historical goal rate at this venue averages 2.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the historical matches played at this stadium

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