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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata

08/29/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Rosario Central
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
RCGLP

Rosario Central

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
+0.75
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Enzo Copetti替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Gimnasia La Plata

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
Alexis Steimbach未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Nicolás Barros Schelotto替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

27%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

73%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Rosario Central won all 4 head-to-head matches against Gimnasia La Plata
  • Away weakness: Gimnasia La Plata concede an average of 1.8 goals per away game
  • Mathematical favorites: The model calculates a home win probability of 54%
风险因素
  • Gimnasia La Plata are currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals)
  • The visitors are missing key players Alexis Steimbach and Nicolás Barros Schelotto from the squad
概述

Rosario Central host Gimnasia La Plata at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Match on August 29, 2026, 8:00 PM in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Rosario Central occupy 4th place with 28 points

Gimnasia La Plata sit in 6th place with 26 points

A crucial battle in the upper third of the table

近期状态

Rosario Central show stable form with DWWWD

The hosts recorded 3 wins and 2 draws recently

Gimnasia La Plata register a form of WWWLL

The visitors suffered 2 consecutive losses after 3 previous wins

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Rosario Central score an average of 1.28 goals per game this season

Their home record shows 1.31 scored and 0.77 conceded goals on average

Gimnasia La Plata average 1.17 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per match

In away games, the visitors concede an average of 1.8 goals

Rosario Central kept 7 clean sheets this season

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central secured 4 wins

The goal difference stands at 8:2 in favor of the home team

In the last meeting on February 25, 2026, Rosario Central won 2-1 away

Rosario Central dominate the historical encounters with a perfect record

关键球员

Ángel Di María is the top scorer for Rosario Central with 7 goals and 4 assists

Jáminton Campaz contributed 2 goals and 4 assists this season

Gastón Ávila averages a rating of 7.08 in defense

Agustín Auzmendi leads the Gimnasia La Plata attack with 4 goals and 2 assists

Nacho Fernández contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in midfield

Pedro Silva Torrejón has provided 3 assists in defense so far

门将

Goalkeeper Conan Ledesma made 20 appearances for Rosario Central this season

The home team managed to keep 7 clean sheets so far this term

Nelson Insfrán has played 22 matches in goal for Gimnasia La Plata

The visitors recorded a total of 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central have a strong home record with 1.31 home goals scored and 0.77 home goals conceded on average

The stadium stats show an average of 2.8 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate

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