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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Aldosivi

08/30/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Argentinos Juniors
1.7
Total xG
2.2
Aldosivi
0.5
最可能的比分

1:0

17%

2:0

16%

0:0

12%

1:1

11%

3:0

9%
xG 分解
AJALD

Argentinos Juniors

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.69
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.26
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.00
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

Aldosivi

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.49
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.07
状态上升 (0.8 vs 0.6 赛季平均)
+0.05
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
+0.00
Alan Sosa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

25%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

75%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Aldosivi weakened by the absence of Alan Sosa (1T/1A), leaving only 71% of their usual starting XI strength available
  • Argentinos Juniors dominated possession in recent matches (63.8% on average) and averaged 5.2 shots on target
  • Mathematical dominance of the hosts with a calculated win probability of 65% and 1.71 expected goals
风险因素
  • Aldosivi concedes an extremely high average of 1.64 goals per away game
  • The visitors' attack failed to score in 12 matches already this season
  • Aldosivi averaged only 3.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述

Argentinos Juniors in 3rd place with 29 points host bottom-placed Aldosivi in 14th place with 8 points

Match on August 30, 2026, 9:00 PM at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

The home team enters this clash as clear favorites

近期状态

Argentinos Juniors form: WWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Aldosivi form: LLLDL

The hosts secured 3 wins from their last 5 matches

Aldosivi is winless in 5 games with 4 losses

统计数据

Argentinos Juniors averages 1.24 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game

Their home record shines with only 0.4 goals conceded per game and 9 clean sheets

Aldosivi scores only 0.45 goals on average away and concedes 1.64 goals per game

Aldosivi failed to score in 12 matches this season

历史交锋

3 head-to-head matches in history

2 wins for Argentinos Juniors and 1 win for Aldosivi

Last match ended in a 2-0 win for Argentinos Juniors on March 31, 2026

关键球员

Francisco Álvarez stands out with a season rating of 7.23

Alan Lescano has contributed 4 goals from midfield

Gastón Verón averages a rating of 7.11

Andrés Vombergar scored 1 goal this season

Nicolás Zalazar has a rating of 7.02

Nicolás Gaitán also scored 1 goal

门将

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández guards the goal with 12 clean sheets this season

Lucas Acosta is in goal on the other side with 5 clean sheets

影响因素

The game is played on natural grass at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

The strong home advantage is reflected in only 0.4 conceded goals on average per home game

Historically, the stadium sees an average of 2.2 goals per match

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