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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sarsfield

08/29/2026, 05:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Deportivo Riestra
1.0
Total xG
2.0
Vélez Sarsfield
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

12%

0:1

11%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
DRVS

Deportivo Riestra

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.03
主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.7球)

Vélez Sarsfield

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.06

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

34%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Vélez Sarsfield are currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3) based on advancedStats
  • Deportivo Riestra recently averaged only 3.6 shots on target per match, playing counter-oriented football
  • Extremely strong home defense for Deportivo Riestra, conceding only 0.28 goals per game over 18 home matches
风险因素
  • Deportivo Riestra failed to score in 15 out of 22 matches played this season
  • Low-scoring trend at Estadio Guillermo Laza with an average of only 1.8 goals per game
  • Vélez Sarsfield are highly stable on the road, conceding only 0.77 goals per away game
概述

Deportivo Riestra host Vélez Sarsfield

Match on August 29, 2026, 5:45 PM at Estadio Guillermo Laza

Deportivo Riestra sit in 15th place with 11 points

Vélez Sarsfield visit as 3rd in the table with 28 points

The mathematical model expects a tight duel with 1.04 to 0.99 expected goals

近期状态

Deportivo Riestra form: LLWLD

Recent record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Vélez Sarsfield display strong form: WWDDD

Visitors undefeated in 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Deportivo Riestra average 0.5 goals scored per game this season

The hosts' defense concedes 0.77 goals per game on average

Vélez Sarsfield score an average of 1.17 goals per match

The visitors' defense allows 0.78 goals per game on average

Riestra failed to score in 15 out of 22 games

历史交锋

A total of 4 head-to-head matches in history

Deportivo Riestra with 1 win, Vélez Sarsfield with 0 wins and 3 draws

The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on February 25, 2026

Goal difference of 4-3 in favor of Deportivo Riestra

关键球员

Antony Alonso has scored 4 goals in 22 appearances this season

Milton Céliz stands out in midfield with a season rating of 7.04

Goalkeeper Ignacio Arce maintains a strong average rating of 7.19

Manuel Lanzini leads the visitors with 6 goals scored this season

Matías Pellegrini has recorded 4 assists with a season rating of 6.95

Elías Gómez contributed 3 assists with a season rating of 6.87

门将

Ignacio Arce played 22 games and secured 9 clean sheets

Tomás Marchiori has 6 appearances, with the team keeping 9 clean sheets overall

Arce holds a season average rating of 7.19

Marchiori averages a strong rating of 7.17 this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Guillermo Laza

Home advantage for Deportivo Riestra, conceding only 5 goals in 18 home games

An average of only 1.8 goals per game was scored in the 5 matches at this venue

Both teams scored in none of the 5 home matches

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