比赛报告 →
Deportivo Riestra – Vélez Sarsfield1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Deportivo Riestra
1.04
总 xG
2.03
Vélez Sarsfield
0.99
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Deportivo Riestra | Vélez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 低进球联赛 (场均2.1球) | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| 排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位) | −0.14 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球) | +0.09 | |
| 状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均) | +0.09 | |
| 排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位) | +0.06 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球) | −0.03 | |
| 主场表现强势 (场均1球 vs 总体0.7球) |
关键因素
- Vélez Sarsfield are currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3) based on advancedStats
- Deportivo Riestra recently averaged only 3.6 shots on target per match, playing counter-oriented football
- Extremely strong home defense for Deportivo Riestra, conceding only 0.28 goals per game over 18 home matches
风险
- Deportivo Riestra failed to score in 15 out of 22 matches played this season
- Low-scoring trend at Estadio Guillermo Laza with an average of only 1.8 goals per game
- Vélez Sarsfield are highly stable on the road, conceding only 0.77 goals per away game
全部概率
赛果
Deportivo Riestra34%
平局34%
Vélez Sarsfield32%
进球
大于 1.562%
小于 1.538%
大于 2.533%
小于 2.567%
大于 3.515%
小于 3.585%
双重机会
Deportivo Riestra或平局68%
Vélez Sarsfield或平局66%
非平局66%
双方均进球
是42%
否58%
最可能的比分
1:1
15%
0:0
15%
1:0
12%
0:1
11%
2:0
7%
首发阵容
Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2 · Vélez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Riestra
- 1 I. Arce
- 36 M. Bracamonte
- 24 F. Miño
- 22 C. Paz
- 6 I. Gariglio
- 15 N. Sansotre
- 10 B. Sánchez
- 8 M. Céliz
- 27 J. Goitía
- 9 G. Benegas
- 7 A. Alonso Espinoza
Vélez Sarsfield
- 1 T. Marchiori Carreño
- 4 J. García
- 32 T. Silvero
- 2 E. Mammana
- 3 E. Gómez
- 29 R. Aliendro
- 8 L. Robertone
- 11 M. Pellegrini
- 22 M. Lanzini
- 17 A. Zahir Verón
- 15 D. Godoy
替补
- 21 T. González
- 16 N. Watson
- 40 G. Obredor
- 5 P. Ramírez
- 35 Á. Stringa
- 11 A. Díaz
- 14 P. Monje
- 13 R. Gallo
- 4 Y. Murillo Mena
- 23 M. Arzamendia Espinoza
- 29 M. Graneros
- 17 ?. Almada
- 23 F. Sanguinetti
- 35 M. Arias
- 19 L. Cristaldo Florentín
- 16 L. Magallán
- 5 C. Baeza Baeza
- 48 L.Feler
- 47 A. Pereyra
- 18 Simón Escobar
- 39 T. Aguirre
- 30 L. Piola
- 37 J. Policella
- 27 S. Prima
准备开始了吗？
创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。
创建账户 →