Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Boca Juniors - Lanús
08/29/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
9%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Boca Juniors
Lanús
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
28%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Boca Juniors' exceptionally strong home defense conceding just 0.78 goals per game meets Lanús' low scoring average of 1.09
- Recent form: Boca Juniors remain unbeaten in their last 5 games while Lanús suffered 3 defeats in their last 5 matches
- Model prediction: The pipeline calculates a 52% home win probability and 1.61 expected goals for Boca Juniors
风险因素
- Boca Juniors are scoring fewer goals recently (1.2) compared to their season average (1.43)
- Squad impact: Key players Leandro Paredes and Tomás Aranda are missing from the Boca Juniors lineup
- Fatigue factor: Lanús have had only 4 days of rest since their last match
概述
Boca Juniors (2nd place, 30 points) host Lanús (6th place, 24 points) at the Estadio Alberto José Armando
Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 29, 2026, 12:30 AM
Boca Juniors aim to secure three points to keep pressure on the league leaders
近期状态
Boca Juniors: DWDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts recorded 1 win and 4 draws in their recent matches
Lanús: LLWLD
The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last five outings
统计数据
Boca Juniors score an average of 1.3 goals and concede 0.87 per match
Lanús average 1.09 goals scored and 1.04 goals conceded per game
Boca Juniors are highly disciplined at home, conceding only 0.78 goals per match
Lanús suffer defensively on the road, conceding 1.17 goals on average
历史交锋
3 head-to-head matches in recent history
Even record with 1 win for Boca Juniors, 1 win for Lanús, and 1 draw
The last match between these teams ended in a 3:0 scoreline
关键球员
Boca Juniors: Miguel Merentiel (7 goals, 2 assists), Santiago Ascacíbar (5 goals, 1 assist), Alan Velasco (3 goals, 1 assist)
Lanús: Dylan Aquino (6 goals, 2 assists), Yoshan Valois (4 goals, 1 assist), Eduardo Salvio (1 goal, 3 assists)
Not in squad for Boca Juniors: Leandro Paredes (2 goals, 3 assists), Tomás Aranda (1 goal, 3 assists)
Not in squad for Lanús: Ramiro Carrera (2 goals, 4 assists)
门将
Boca Juniors: Álvaro Montero (6 appearances, 6.98 average rating)
Lanús: Nahuel Losada (21 appearances, 9 clean sheets)
Boca Juniors have kept 10 clean sheets this season while Lanús registered 9
影响因素
Strong home field advantage for Boca Juniors at the Estadio Alberto José Armando
Matches at this stadium generate a high average of 3.0 goals per game
Boca Juniors have only conceded 7 goals at home throughout the campaign