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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Independiente Rivadavia - Racing Club

08/31/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Independiente Rivadavia
1.8
Total xG
2.6
Racing Club
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
IRRC

Independiente Rivadavia

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.53倍)
+0.87
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.02
Fabrizio Sartori替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
Alejo Osella替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Juan Elordi替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Racing Club

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.06
全员可用

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

26%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

74%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • League leaders Independiente Rivadavia (34 points) face a struggling Racing Club side that has been winless in their last 5 matches
  • The mathematical model predicts a high home win probability of 59% with 1.76 expected goals for the hosts
  • Independiente Rivadavia recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match, while Racing Club averaged only 3.4 shots on target
风险因素
  • Both teams have seen their scoring stall recently, with the hosts averaging 1.3 goals (season average: 1.8) and the visitors 0.8 goals (season average: 1.2)
  • Racing Club recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match
  • Historically balanced head-to-head record with 1 win each and 2 draws in their 4 meetings
概述

Independiente Rivadavia hosts Racing Club at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on August 31, 2026, 12:30 AM

The league leaders (34 points) meet the 8th-placed team (21 points)

Strong favorite role for the home team in the title race

近期状态

Independiente Rivadavia form: WLWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Racing Club form: DLLLD

Independiente Rivadavia recorded 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Racing Club is winless in 5 matches with 3 losses and 2 draws

统计数据

Independiente Rivadavia averages 1.52 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match this season

At home they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded

Racing Club averages 1.00 goals scored and 1.04 goals conceded per game

Away from home Racing averages 1.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded

历史交锋

Even historical record with 1 win each and 2 draws in 4 head-to-head matches

Balanced goal difference of 4-4 goals

The last direct meeting on February 26, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Top attacker Álex Arce has 5 season goals and showed rising form recently

Matías Fernández recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 appearances

José Florentín contributes from midfield with 4 goals this season

Not in squad: Fabrizio Sartori (7 goals / 0 assists), Alejo Osella (4 goals / 0 assists), Juan Elordi (1 goal / 2 assists)

门将

Nicolás Bolcato played 21 matches for the hosts with an average rating of 6.84

Facundo Cambeses played 24 matches for the visitors with an average rating of 6.90

Independiente Rivadavia kept 6 clean sheets compared to 8 by Racing Club

影响因素

High average of 3.8 goals per match at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 analyzed matches at this stadium

Match played on natural grass

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