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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

River Plate - Independiente Rivadavia

09/06/2026, 10:15 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
River Plate
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Independiente Rivadavia
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
RPIR

River Plate

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.04
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Aníbal Moreno未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Joaquín Freitas未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

Independiente Rivadavia

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.18
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.03
Sheyko Studer未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

33%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Tactical setup: River Plate dominated recent matches with an average of 58.8% possession
  • Offensive drive: Independiente Rivadavia averaged 5.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Title battle: The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 39% for the league leaders
风险因素
  • Sluggish attack: Advanced stats show Independiente Rivadavia's goal production stalling at 1.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
  • Away defensive gaps: Independiente Rivadavia concede an average of 1.29 goals per away game
  • Missing regulars: Aníbal Moreno and Joaquín Freitas are not in the starting lineup for River Plate
概述

River Plate host Independiente Rivadavia at the Estadio Monumental

Top-of-the-table clash in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 6, 2026, 10:15 PM

League leaders River Plate with 29 points face second-placed Independiente Rivadavia with 28 points

The top spot in the standings is at stake

近期状态

Both teams show an identical record in their last 5 matches

River Plate with a form of LLWDW following a recent 3-2 win against Banfield

Independiente Rivadavia with a form of LWLDW after a 3-1 victory over Racing Club

Form summary shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses for each team

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

River Plate score an average of 1.33 goals per game and concede 0.93 goals this season

River Plate's home record stands at an average of 1.32 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded

Independiente Rivadavia average 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per match

Away from home, Independiente Rivadavia concede an average of 1.29 goals while scoring 1.57

历史交锋

There have been 2 direct duels in recent years

Independiente Rivadavia recorded 1 win and 1 draw

River Plate are still waiting for their first win against this opponent

The last meeting on March 3, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Ángel Correa is in great shape with 3 goals, 1 assist, and a 7.23 rating

Thiago Almada impresses in midfield with a 7.44 average rating

Sebastián Driussi has already scored 6 goals this season for his team

Álex Arce is dangerous with 6 goals and a rising form trend

Fabrizio Sartori is the visitors' top scorer with 8 goals this season

Matías Fernández has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists

门将

Santiago Beltrán has played 27 matches in goal with a 6.82 rating

The home goalkeeper has recorded 10 clean sheets this season

Nicolás Bolcato played 22 matches with a 6.84 average rating

The away goalkeeper has achieved 6 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Monumental

The venue registered a goalless 0-0 draw in its only recorded international match

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