🇦🇷

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Gimnasia La Plata - Tigre

09/05/2026, 05:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Gimnasia La Plata
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Tigre
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
GLPTIG

Gimnasia La Plata

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
-0.13
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.10
Alexis Steimbach替补席 (1球, 6助攻)
Nicolás Barros Schelotto替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)

Tigre

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.09
Martín Garay替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

32%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Gimnasia is scoring more frequently recently (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.3)
  • In-form visitors: Tigre is unbeaten in 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and is also scoring more recently (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3)
  • Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates a tight margin with a 37% probability of an away win for Tigre
风险因素
  • Alexis Steimbach and Nicolás Barros Schelotto are missing from Gimnasia's squad
  • Tigre averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo historically sees low-scoring matches with an Over 2.5 rate of only 20%
概述

Gimnasia La Plata (6th place, 22 points) hosts Tigre (10th place, 18 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 5, 2026, 6:30 PM

A mid-table clash with close margins

近期状态

Gimnasia is in WWLLW form (3 wins, 2 losses in 5 matches)

Tigre remains unbeaten in 5 matches with DWDWD form (2 wins, 3 draws)

Gimnasia comes off a 2-1 win against Rosario Central

Tigre recently drew 0-0 against Barracas Central

统计数据

Gimnasia scores an average of 1.20 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per game

Tigre scores an average of 1.04 goals while conceding only 0.78 goals per match

Gimnasia at home averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.00 conceded

Tigre away averages 1.00 goal scored and concedes 0.90

At the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, matches average 2.2 goals

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in history both ended in draws

Neither team has managed to secure a victory so far

The last meeting on March 2, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

The goal difference in direct duels is balanced at 3-3

关键球员

Agustín Auzmendi has recorded 4 goals and 2 assists in 25 season appearances

Nacho Fernández has 2 goals and 2 assists with a 7.01 rating

Ignacio Russo is Tigre's top scorer with 6 goals and 3 assists this season

门将

Nelson Insfrán starts in goal for Gimnasia, keeping 8 clean sheets this season

Felipe Zenobio has also achieved 8 clean sheets for Tigre

Insfrán has an average rating of 6.96

Zenobio holds an average rating of 6.87 this season

影响因素

Gimnasia plays with home advantage on grass at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

The home record shows 16 goals scored and 13 conceded in 13 games

Tigre travels with a solid away defense, conceding only 9 goals in 10 games

Historical venue stats indicate low-scoring games

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。