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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Sarmiento

09/04/2026, 07:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
0.8
Total xG
1.9
Sarmiento
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
EDRCSAR

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.46
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.52倍)
-0.38
状态上升 (0.7 vs 0.4 赛季平均)
+0.07
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.05
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.01
主场表现强势 (场均0.8球 vs 总体0.4球)
全员可用

Sarmiento

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+0.55
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.19
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.19
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.03
Julián Contrera替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.43
-0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

35%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

29%

Under 2.5

71%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

65%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Form disparity: Sarmiento secured four wins from their last five matches, whereas Estudiantes has only managed one victory during the entire season
  • Offensive mismatch: Sarmiento currently averages 1.8 goals per match, well above their season mean, while Estudiantes has scored a mere 8 goals in 23 fixtures
  • Low-scoring stadium trend: Historical figures for Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto indicate an extremely low average of 0.8 goals per game, with zero occurrences of both teams scoring in 5 matches
风险因素
  • Severe away defensive struggles: Sarmiento concedes an extremely high average of 2.75 goals per game when playing away
  • Crucial injury losses: Estudiantes is missing L. González, V. Fenoglio, and M. Ruiz Díaz, who are all sidelined due to cruciate ligament tears
概述

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto hosts Sarmiento at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 4, 2026, 9:45 PM

The hosts are in 15th place with 5 points, while the visitors sit in 9th place with 19 points

A clash between the bottom-placed team and a mid-table side looking to climb higher

近期状态

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is struggling with form (Form: DLLDD - W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Sarmiento was on a four-game winning streak before their last defeat (Form: WWWWL)

The visitors display a much stronger trajectory with 4 wins and 1 loss recently

统计数据

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has a weak offense, scoring only 8 goals in 23 matches with an average of 0.35

Sarmiento has been much more prolific, scoring 26 goals this season with an average of 1.13

However, Sarmiento's defense has leaked an average of 2.75 goals per away game

Estudiantes limits opponents to just 0.79 goals per home game on average

历史交锋

There has been only 1 previous head-to-head encounter between these sides

Sarmiento won that single matchup 1-0 on March 3, 2026

The historical record currently favors the away side

关键球员

Gabriel Alanís has scored 2 goals this season for the home side

Junior Marabel leads the visitors' attack with 10 goals and 4 assists

Julián Mavilla is in exceptional form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances

门将

Lucas Bruera has made 7 appearances with a season average rating of 6.96

Thyago Ayala boasts a strong rating of 7.25 over his 5 appearances

The home side has secured 6 clean sheets overall, while the visitors have kept 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto

The venue historical matches show a low-scoring trend, averaging only 0.8 goals per match

Both teams scored was not recorded once in the 5 home matches analyzed at this venue

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