Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield - Estudiantes
09/06/2026, 12:15 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
31%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Squad impact: Missing Manuel Lanzini and Dilan Godoy leaves Vélez Sarsfield with only 56% of their active goals share
- Possession dominance: Estudiantes dominated recent matches with an average of 65.4% possession and 5.6 shots on target
- H2H edge: Vélez Sarsfield won both of their previous head-to-head encounters without conceding
风险因素
- Significant offensive loss for Vélez Sarsfield due to the absence of Manuel Lanzini
- Estudiantes' goal scoring is stalling recently, averaging 1.0 goal compared to their season average of 1.35
概述
Top match in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Vélez Sarsfield (3rd place, 28 points) hosts league leaders Estudiantes (1st place, 31 points)
Match on September 6, 2026, 2:15 AM at Estadio José Amalfitani
近期状态
Vélez Sarsfield is unbeaten in 5 games with the form WDDDD
The home form shows 1 win and 4 draws
Estudiantes has struggled recently with the form LLWLD
The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Vélez Sarsfield scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 0.79 goals per match
Estudiantes boasts a strong defense, conceding only 0.63 goals per game
The visitors kept a clean sheet in 12 out of 24 games
Both teams scored in 13 out of 24 matches for Vélez Sarsfield this season
历史交锋
Vélez Sarsfield dominates the historical record with 2 wins in 2 matches
The goal difference stands at 3:0 in favor of the hosts
The last direct encounter ended in a 1:0 victory for Vélez Sarsfield
关键球员
Matías Pellegrini is a key threat with 3 goals and 4 assists this season
Lucas Robertone anchors the midfield with a season rating of 6.91
Alexis Castro is in great form with a rising performance trend
门将
Tomás Marchiori has a strong season average rating of 7.12 for Vélez Sarsfield
Fernando Muslera has been exceptional for Estudiantes with a rating of 7.18
Both goalkeepers show solid and reliable performances
影响因素
The match is played on grass at Estadio José Amalfitani
The stadium average shows a low scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in only 40% of the games played at this venue