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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Belgrano - Huracán

09/04/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Belgrano
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Huracán
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
BELHUR

Belgrano

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Lucas Passerini 替补席 (1球, 7助攻)
Francisco González Metilli替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Ramiro Hernandes替补席 (3球, 1助攻)

Huracán

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Juan Bisanz替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2.1球)
-0.42
-0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Form trend: Belgrano are in positive form, scoring more recently (1.67 goals) compared to their season average (1.41 goals)
  • Tactical advantage: Belgrano recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match, whereas Huracán managed only 2.4 shots on target
  • Home strength: Belgrano concede only 0.56 goals per game on average at home and lost only one of their last 5 home games
风险因素
  • Squad weakening for Belgrano: Key offensive players Lucas Passerini, Francisco González Metilli, and Ramiro Hernandes are missing from the starting lineup
  • Efficiency issue for Huracán: Despite averaging 63.2% possession, Huracán's goal production has stalled with only 1.00 goals scored in recent matches
  • Defensive bias: Both teams excel defensively (conceding 0.74 and 0.84 goals on average), leading to a high probability of a low-scoring game (over 2.5 goals is predicted at only 39%)
概述

Belgrano (4th place, 24 points) host Huracán (11th place, 18 points)

Liga Profesional de Fútbol match on September 4, 2026, 10:00 PM

The match takes place at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano seek to stay close to the top teams

近期状态

Belgrano present a stable run with a DWWLD form in all competitions

Huracán enter the match with a DWLDD form streak

The hosts recorded two wins and two draws in their last five games

The visitors secured one win and three draws during this period

统计数据

Belgrano average 1.15 goals scored and only 0.74 goals conceded this season

Huracán stand at an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.84 goals conceded

The hosts are strong at home, conceding just 0.56 goals per game

Huracán have a balanced away record of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct encounters in recent history

Huracán hold 1 win, while Belgrano have won 2 times alongside one draw

The goal difference is balanced at 5 to 5 goals

The last meeting ended in a 3-1 home victory for Huracán on March 3, 2026

关键球员

Lisandro López impresses in defense with a season rating of 7.27 and 1 goal

Lucas Zelarayán contributes 4 goals and 3 assists in midfield with a 7.19 rating

Nicolás Fernández leads the attack with 5 goals and 4 assists, rating 6.81

Jordy Caicedo is the top threat with 11 season goals and a 6.83 rating

Leonardo Gil commands the midfield with a 7.09 rating, 1 goal, and 2 assists

Óscar Cortés adds offensive quality with 2 goals, 4 assists, and a 6.92 rating

门将

Thiago Cardozo featured in 26 matches and secured 14 clean sheets

Hernán Galíndez made 24 appearances and recorded 11 clean sheets

Both goalkeepers show steady average ratings of 7.08 and 6.94

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano enjoy a solid home record, conceding only 9 goals in 16 home games

The stadium statistics show an average of 2.2 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the previous fixtures at this venue

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